Friday, January 09, 2009

Friday horse racing summary

Lingfield, 12:30
It looks like there may be jumps racing from Kelso today, but unfortunately I still find nothing I fancy backing. On the all-weather surface at Lingfield the first race is a 5f handicap. NICKEL SILVER has strong claims to the race, having won recently at Wolverhampton. However, Lingfield is a different surface and he has never raced here before, and I think that the price is much too short to back the horse, in a sprint handicap. So the value is to oppose him.
Lay to lose - Nickel Silver Result: Won

Kelso, 12:40
Not surprisingly the going is heavy after a period of snow and frost. This race is a novice hurdle over 2m. SIGNALMAN is the forecast favourite and certainly has the form to win the race. However, he is giving away 7lbs to all his rivals, and that may prove too much in the testing ground, so I am going to oppose him.
Lay to lose - Signalman Result: Meeting abandoned

Kelso, 1:40
This is a class 2 handicap hurdle over 2m. ISSAQUAH will be sent off the short priced favourite having won five of his seven starts. However, today he steps up in class, and is carrying an extra 13lbs since his last run. That is an awful lot of extra weight to carry in heavy going, and he will need to answer some big questions to win this afternoon.
Lay to lose - Issaquah Result: Meeting abandoned

Wolverhampton, 2:35
This is a lowly class 6 seller over 1m 1f on the all-weather. AHLAWY has won only three times in thirty runs, and has not got his nose in front since the summer of 2007, yet he is favourite for this race. Admittedly he is dropped in grade to compete today, but I don't see this as a reason he should be favourite, and in my opinion the value lies in laying bets against him to lose.
Lay to lose - Ahlawy Result: Won

Kelso, 2:40
This is a class 4 novice hurdle over 2m 6f. MOSCOW CATCH will be the favourite at around even money. He is stepping up in trip, and in the testing clay ground here at Kelso, and with the stiff uphill finish, this will require real staying qualities. He is too short to back, and I am going to lay bets against him.
Lay to lose - Moscow Catch Result: Meeting abandoned

No comments: