Please note there will be a break in service whilst I enjoy a summer break.
Accordingly all memberships will be extended by three weeks without charge, and if you are starting (or in the middle of) your trial period, then this will be completed when I return.
My daily service will resume Monday 21st July.
A disappointing day's results, returning just one winner from five. Two of the four losers were well fancied horses that let the balance sheet down by finishing in runners up spot. Ma Vie En Rose was running in a 6f handicap at Salisbury. She had showed significant improvement in her last race, and I felt a further drop in trip would be to her liking. She had been given a very fair mark by the handicapper and so I felt the 20/1 available about her on the exchanges was worth a nibble. This time it did not pay off, but consistently backing horses with better-than-average chances of winning at long odds such as this, will reap dividends with surprising regularity.
Profits so far this month: 53.0pts
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Not an exciting day to report. My two back-to-win bets both lost - Forced Upon Us went down by a head at Lingfield, whilst Almaty Express was unplaced at 11/1
I re-couped a point with a successful lay bet against Heaven at Wolverhampton. This afternoon she was to contest a 5f sprint handicap, with only a maiden win to her name so far. She had yet to prove herself around the bends of an all-weather track so I was prepared to go against her if I could get matched at 11/4 During on course betting she touched 5/2 with the required 11/4 available on the exchanges. She finished second to give me the point.
I lost a few potential selections today as Hexham had to be abandoned due to high winds. Nonetheless two win bets remained and I enjoyed a runner-up, and a winner with Envisage at Pontefract. Envsage returned a profit of 5 points on the exchanges, and so I made 4 points overall.
Also at Pontefract I went against Wohaida in the 6f maiden. On her previous debut outing she only managed fifth place in a similar race, so I saw no particular reason she should be the favourite to win today. I was happy to lay bets for a couple of points if I could get matched at 11/4 Briefly touching 5/2 on course she could be layed off on the exchanges at 11/4 and she duly finished fourth.
A useful 6 points profit to count at the end of the afternoon, to add to the small profit I made yesterday. A good week end all told.
The week turned out to be a nicely profitable one. I had nineteen Win Bets which returned six winners and just over 13 points profit. The Lay Bets are also performing very well this month, with just the one unsuccessful bet so far, and that was an odds-on favourite. This week I scored four from four bets against well fancied horses.
Total profit for the week: Win Bets 13pts, Lay Bets 5pts
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The pace picked up ahead of the week end, with five win bets this afternoon, plus a further lay bet. My first bet Shunkawakhan failed to place at 12/1 but my second selection at Musselburgh was Dnata Flyer in a 7f handicap. He had showed one piece of form over 6f in May which suggested to me he might play a part in today's race. This morning he was widely available to back on the exchanges at 12/1 which I thought was outstanding value in a race with few genuine contenders. He opened on course at 10/1 and was eventually returned the winner at an SP of 8/1
I suffered two further losing bets, but grabbed a point back with Faraway Sound. I also secured a further bonus point by successfully laying bets against Conduit at Ascot.
A most satisfying day's work in all which saw 11 points added to the bottom line.
Another relatively quite day, but this time no movement on the account overall. From four proposed win bets, a non-runner and two horses being much shorter than I anticipated meant we only had one final selection, which was Timber Treasure at Ripon. The horse was unplaced, and so a single point lost to the account.
This lost point was regained when I successfully saw Guest Connections overturned at Ripon. Admittedly he lost by only a nose, then how many times have our win bets lost by just a nose? Whether he lost by a nose or 28 lengths he still lost and the lay bet takes the stakes. Guest Connections has a low strike rate with only three wins from 33 starts, and hadn't put his nose in front for almost two years. As short as 11/4 on the exchanges I thought it was a value bet to say he would fail again today. I was very nearly wrong, which means I was right.
A profitable, if relatively quiet day. I had two selections qualify as bets. First, Heaven Sent came in second in the Windsor Forest Stakes at Royal Ascot. Then a little later in the afternoon it was at Worcester that Black Anshan was competing in a maiden hurdle. He is a different horse compared to last year, and shaped well in another maiden hurdle recently, finishing runner up. Today's race was not much in terms of quality, and nothing else on the card appealed. I felt any price of around 6/4 would be worth snapping up, but as it happens the horse was weaker in the market, and we got prices of 2/1 and upwards. Terrific value for a win in the end.
With no lay bets to report, a small profit on the day of around 1 point.
A completely un-spectacular Thursday afternoon, with no lay bets to report, and all three win bets going down.
I had fancied Obe Royal in a mediocre 6f handicap at Yarmouth. He was a horse that just seemed to waiting for his win in turn. Stuck on the same mark by the handicapper for around a dozen races, he has been performing with consistency and I feel it is only a matter of time before he wins. However, I was hoping it would be today! He showed good form recently, finishing only a length off of Heywood in a better class of race, and when I saw he was available to back this morning at 7/1 he had to be snapped up for value. Sadly, he finished second, and I will probably leave him alone now unless a price nearer 10/1 can be grabbed. Watch him bolt up next time out when we are not backing him!
A welcome portion of profit was heartily served up this afternoon, and for once it was dished up by my win bets! We started well when Daddys Gift scooted to the front at Lingfield. And then we were backing It's A Dream at Hamilton. He has tumbled the best part of two stone in the weights of late, and was sorely due his first win since his winning debut. Available at around 7/1 or 8/1 on the exchanges in the morning, this was a stand-out value bet. By the time the market opened on course he had been backed in to 9/2 and was sent off as the favourite at 7/2 He reached the line first, just over a length to the good.
My two proposed lay bets both lost, but they were never available at low enough prices to qualify as bets, so they will not appear on my results.
I came away with almost 8 points profit to add to the bottom line.
My three win bets all failed to deliver this afternoon, but I recouped a couple of points with a successful lay bet at Kempton this evening.
Galeota was running this evening in a class 1 5f sprint at Kempton. Although he has won at this level before, he generally comes to peak form later in the season. If I could get matched at 11/4 or lower then I was happy to bet two points that he would not be at his best, and find such a classy race as this a little beyond him. Earlier today this price was available and I snapped it up. When he opened on course the market was less expectant, and his price wavered between 3/1 and 11/4 before he was sent off at 3/1F He finished with only one horse behind him and we collected 2 points profit.
And so a solitary point lost to the account overall by the end of the evening.
Two horses finishing second, including one by just a nose, didn't change the fact that the account suffered three losing bets this afternoon. Doubtful Sound was running in a class 6 seller at Leicester, and this type of race was well within his compass having won several times at this level and above. I judged a value price to be 2/1 and when we could get matched at 3/1 or better then I was very happy to put my money down. As ever, value means nothing until your horse wins and this time the difference between losing and collecting was but a few inches, the length of a horse's nose.
Welcome to the latest edition of my Newsletter. The main purpose of the monthly Newsletter is to summarize the results of the previous month, and to give you a "heads up" on any exciting news or events to come in the next few weeks.
Quite a number of big races to be enjoyed in June. This month we can look forward to the Derby at Epsom on Saturday. I've got my eye on a horse for the big race this week end, but on the Friday we also have the Oaks for the fillies. Of course later on this month we have Royal Ascot, an annual feast of flat racing and regularly a bountiful hunting ground for us. Remember, my VIP Club focuses exclusively on many of the top class, high-value races and the VIP members have been enjoying something of a 'purple patch' recently.
In this month's issue:
However, those of you who follow my selections in their entirety are glad you do, as the Lay Bets returned 15 points profit. I achieved a 80% success rate laying favourites, and such consistent success will nearly always result in a profit.
I am still far from content with my form finding winners at the moment, and I shall not be happy until both accounts are consistently performing well, and both contributing to profits.
Back-to-Win Selections:
Profit : 1.00 points
Profit to £50 stakes : £50
Profit so far this year : £4,224
Strike rate : 21%
Return on Investment : 101%
Longest winning run : 2
Longest losing run : 10
Lay Bets:
Profit : 15.42 points
Profit to £50 stakes : £771
Strike rate : 80%
Profit so far this year : £2,040
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'You Can Become A Winner Betting On Horse Racing'
Before you start burying your head in the Form book, and analysing speed ratings, trainer statistics, and draw bias figures, Simon Morley-Smith suggests you first need to get your attitude right. Why do the Bookmakers always make a profit? Which punters do bookies fear the most? How can the average punter adopt the same mindset as the bookies to reap regular profits? Simon answers these questions in his latest article.
Click here to read Simon's article in full
The Value Horse Method
If you have been a member of my service for any length of time, or perhaps you've read a few of my articles on my web site, one thing I sincerely hope you recognise is that I bet only when I believe I am getting value for money. Betting for value, and with the odds in your favour, is the only sure way to make a long-term profit from gambling.
Have you ever thought how satisfying it would be to have a method of selecting horses that consistently produces profit, month after month? How good would it feel to know that the odds compilers are powerless to protect themselves from your selections? If you want to make that dream become a reality you need to read about the patented "Value Horse Method". This low-risk betting method is not only unique, it is also bullet-proof and market-resistant.
If you are new to betting on UK horse racing the "Value Horse Method" is the best way of consistently finding value bets and profiting by punting on horse races. Or you may be like me, a serious punter who either earns their living from betting, or at least generates a substantial second income from UK horse racing, then the "Value Horse Method" will become the main weapon in your betting armoury. I first learnt of this method a couple years back, and its teachings are still the cornerstone of my betting strategy.If you were offered odds of 100/1 on it snowing next Christmas would you take the bet? If you would, you could class yourself as a "value bettor". You INVEST your money rather than GAMBLE as probability is on your side. If you took the same bet for the next 100 years, in all probability, you would make a healthy profit.
I have made a living from betting for more than 10 years, not from betting on snow at Xmas but by finding "value horses". On an average day I will often find more than five horses that represent excellent value because the odds that are being offered are far higher than they should be, given the probability that the horse will win.In the book "The Value Horse Method" you will discover exactly how to find these horses and how to make betting on them into a low risk, high reward method of betting.
If you are following my advice on a daily basis, this book will give you a unique insight into how I find horses worthy of putting up as a bet. If you prefer not to rely on professional tipsters, and are much happier when you can pick horses yourself, then this guide will pay for itself many times over.Click here to discover more about "The Value Horse Method"
Have You Heard About The VIP Betting Club?
You may have tried my daily racing service recently, and perhaps you decided against joining. Did you find a daily service was impractical and un-workable during the week? Do you prefer a smaller number of targetted, highly selective bets? Well I have some great news just for you!
I want to tell you about a professional betting service, which gives out only around 4-6 well-researched bets each month -- it's called my VIP Betting Club.
I often receive feedback from people who prefer to bet mostly at the week-ends, and to invest in a reliable source of laser-targetted professional bets. Which is just one of the reasons I introduced the 'VIP Betting Club' service for the discerning racing punter.
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This opportunity is open to everybody, and you do not have to be a member of my service to become an affiliate partner of Redd Racing. Neither do you need to have your own web site -- indeed you don't have to have any technical skills whatsoever. I will provide you with all the tools and training you need to promote my web site effectively.Click here to join my Affiliate Program
....and finally
Riding the favourite at Cheltenham, the jockey is well ahead of the field. Suddenly he’s hit on the head by a turkey and a string of sausages.
He manages to keep control of his mount and pulls back into the lead, only to be struck by a box of Christmas crackers and a dozen mince pies as he goes over the last fence.
With great skill he manages to steer the horse to the front of the field once more when, on the run in, he’s struck on the head by a bottle of sherry and a Christmas pudding.
Thus distracted, he succeeds in coming only second. He immediately goes to the stewards to complain that he has been seriously hampered...
This month's Redd Racing newsletter was produced in asscociation with SkyBlueKangaroo.com which provides a one-stop shop for horse racing and betting products and services. Systems, guides, books, tipsters, and more.
