Sunday, December 31, 2006

Schuh Shines at Warwick

It's always very satisfying to finish a period with a winning day, and I finished 2006 on a very profitable note, with three winners from four selections today.

By taking advantage of the value prices on Betfair today, I made a profit of a fraction over 7 points: my winning selections were Schuh Shine at Warwick, along with Bahar Schumaal and All Of Me at Wolverhampton.

I couldn't find any good opportunities to oppose short-priced horses today, and kept my powder dry.

I've got a New Year's Eve party to get ready for, so I hope you will forgive me if I post this week's results summary on Tuesday. But a quick totting up shows a provisional profit figure of a massive 58 points for December!

I'll take this opportunity to wish you all a very happy New Year -- thank you to all my subscribers for your continued support this past year -- and I look forward to a fine year's racing and betting in 2007.

Saturday, December 30, 2006

Saturday racing summary

Two win bets today, but both unsuccessful. Sunisa beat the favourite, but found one horse too good for her at Haydock.

My lay bets continue in very good form however, and my latest run has seen me get seven consecutive favourites overturned. I advised opposing Nirvana Swing in the 3m handicap chase at Haydock, but the horse never shortened to my suggested price of 2/1 and was returned at 9/4 -- So although the horse was pulled up it must go down as a 'no bet'.

My second lay bet was The King Of Angels in the novices handicap hurdle at Ascot. Having never run in handicap company before, and stepping up markedly in trip, I thought he was worth opposing. He was also pulled up.

So, one point gained back after losing two, and another solitary point lost overall.

Cash Master Software System

I promise you -- this unique software program is not like anything you have seen or tried before. Just like the testimonials I was reading on their website, I too found myself making good profits within a few short days.

Before you read the rest of this article, pay a visit to the website to see exactly what I am talking about:

Visit the Cash Master website.

Very seldom will you ever hear me getting excited about horse racing software systems. The reason is this – because 99% of them will never make you any money!

Almost every software program I have ever tested simply manipulates form data to produce a rating for each horse in a race. Different programs use different data, from different sources, and they use the data in different ways to produce different sets of rankings. You are then left to place your money on the horse with the highest rating.

Employ any one of these systems over a period of time, and chances are you will slowly but steadily lose money. If you are really lucky you will break even.

The reason for this is that 99% of systems ignore the crucial factor for making a profit – achieving a value price. If you fail to bet horses at prices too big compared to their actual chance of winning, then over time you will lose money. Period.

So you can appreciate that when I was asked to try out a software program called ‘Cash Master’ I was just as sceptical as usual.

With the Cash Master System you get the powerful software program, a comprehensive operating manual, their proprietary Mega Buster selection system, many other free bonuses, and a 100% Money Back guarantee if you are not happy – a ‘No Lose’ situation.

So how exactly does it all work?

All you will be required to do is visit specific free internet sites for information and then enter those details into the program. Cash Master will then tell you exactly what to do. The software runs in any Microsoft Windows operating system. There is NOT a lot of tedious data entry involved. Everything is clearly explained in the step-by-step instruction manual.

Suffice to say that I am more than happy to recommend Cash Master. When used in conjunction with a solid selection system, this software will prove an invaluable tool to ensure you maximise your profits.

Make sure you get straight over to the Cash Master website, order yourself a copy, and begin ‘paper trading’ with this software today.

Visit the Cash Master website.

Friday, December 29, 2006

Pretty Star in sparkling form

Two winners from three back-to-win bets today. My Turn Now was the first to score, in the novice hurdle at Taunton. 5/4 was generally available about this horse on Betfair before he was sent off at 10/11. Pretty Star proved that a drifting price is not always something to be concerned about. Indeed, I recommended backing the horse only if you could get a minimum price of 10/3 and it only reached this level of value in the last few minutes before the start.

My one lay bet today was in the Grade 1 novice hurdle at Newbury. Sir Jimmy Shand was being tipped up by almost everybody, despite the fact that his winning form to date is at just Class 4. He was backed right in to 2/1F but thankfully found one horse too good for him today.

All told, I added more than 4.5 points profit to the account.

Top 10 Reasons To Bet On The Exchanges

Betting exchanges such as Betfair and Betdaq have revolutionized the way many punters now place their bets. The most obvious benefit the exchanges offer over the traditional high street bookmaker is the ability to lay bets on horses to lose their race, as well as the conventional practice of backing them to win.

The pioneer in exchange betting is Betfair and today it operates the most popular betting exchange website.

Essentially, Betfair brings together individual punters with opposing views, and cuts out the traditional bookmaker. All bets on Betfair have been placed there by users who either want to have a bet in the normal way (backing), or offer odds to other punters (laying).

Bets are matched between people with opposing views.

When you "back" a selection (be it an individual, a team, horse, dog or other), you are betting that it will win. This is just like betting with conventional bookies.

When you "lay" your selection, you are betting against it winning. For example, if you're betting in a market on which team is going to win the Premiership and you lay Man Utd, you offer odds to other punters who wish to back Man Utd. If Man Utd do not win, then you pick up the backer's stake. If Man Utd wins, then you pay out. This is what bookmakers traditionally do.

Listed below are ten compelling reasons to join the revolution and bet on the exchanges:

1. Better odds: When you place a bet on a betting exchange you do away with the bookmaker, who has traditionally acted as the middle man. As with any other ‘middle man’ the bookmaker takes his cut. He will always attempt to construct his ‘book’ and manipulate prices downwards such that whatever the outcome he will make a profit. By taking the bookie out of the equation you can generally get odds on Betfair 20% higher, which means more profit.

2. Lay as well as back: In the past you would only win your bet if your selected horse won its race. Betfair also allows you to act as bookmaker and lay a bet that a horse will NOT win the race. If your selection doesn’t win, then you collect!

3. Trading for guaranteed profits: On the betting exchanges you can take advantage of movements in the price of a horse to secure guaranteed profits – much like trading the financial markets. Profit whatever the outcome of a race? Impossible you might think…. I will give you an example to demonstrate:

Let’s imagine you have a horse priced at 3/1 in a race. You think the price of this horse will shorten because it is well fancied. You back the horse for a stake of £100.

The price of the horse falls to 2/1 just before the race starts as lots of punters also back the horse. You then lay the horse for £134.

Now, let’s examine how you will make a profit. There are only two outcomes for your horse – it will either win the race, or it will not win the race.

If it wins, you will win £300 (£100 @ 3/1). However, you will have to pay out on your lay bet – you will pay out £268 (£134 @ 2/1). Your profit is £300 less £268 equals £32

If your horse loses, you will win your lay bet and collect £134. However, you will lose your £100 win stake, and be left with £34 profit.

So you see, by backing the horse at one price and then laying it back at a lower price, you can guarantee yourself a profit, before the race even starts!

This process can also be done in reverse, in other words you can lay a bet on a horse to lose, then when its price drifts you can back it to ‘lock in’ the profit.

Discover more about trading on Betfair at Bet Angel

4. You select the odds you want: Before the appearance of betting exchanges, when placing a bet on a horse you would have to take the price offered by the bookmaker. If the odds offered on a horse were 2/1 and you said you wanted 3/1 you would be laughed out of the shop. Not so with Betfair. If you want to back the horse at 3/1 then you can post this request on the web site, and if someone else wants to lay that bet then your bet will be matched.

5. Bet in-running: Betfair allows you to continue betting on an event, even after it has started. This capability brings with it a whole new betting experience, but it’s not for the faint hearted. As you might expect, the betting market for a horse race can change dramatically and extremely quickly, as horses jostle for position in a 5 furlong sprint which is over in less than a minute! Pitting your judgment and opinions against other punters as the race unfolds is very exciting, but equally risky. However, it is an experience that the traditional bookmaker simply cannot hope to match.

6. Never have your betting account closed: We have all seen the photocopied letters from bookmakers giving notice of closed accounts. The truth is, when you consistently make a profit from betting, then your business becomes a liability for a bookmaker. He is only happy to take your bets if over time he is taking more money from you, than he is giving back. When it happens the other way around, which is what all punters are striving for, then the bookmaker will invariably pull the proverbial rug from underneath you. By contrast, Betfair will never close your account. They charge a commission based upon your winnings, so in fact as long as you are winning, then they are making money too.

7. Bet to unlimited stakes: I can remember plenty of times in the past when I have received word about a horse and visited my local bookmaker to place a bet. When I asked to have £500 on the horse at 12/1 the assistant behind the counter would scurry into the back room to speak to the manager, then return to say I could have a pathetic £20 @ 12/1 but the rest would have to be at the Starting Price (which as we all know is controlled by the bookmakers). This does not happen on the exchanges. If you post a request to back your horse for £500 at 12/1 and someone else is willing to lay the bet at that price (or it could be a number of people whose total stake matches yours) then you will strike your bet.

8. Have all of your betting funds in one place: Most of us have at some point opened accounts with more than one bookmaker. We do this so that we can take advantage of whoever is offering the best price on a particular horse. However, by spreading our betting bank across a number of accounts, we are diluting our money – we may want to back a horse for £100 but find we only have £50 lodged with the bookie with the best price. Sure, we can move funds between accounts, but it all amounts to an inconvenience. Having all your funds with one betting exchange means you can have all your funds available to bet, and all your money can be made to work for you.

9. Bet on a wide range of sports: Betting on the exchanges is not restricted to horse racing. Just as with the bookmakers, you can bet on a variety of sports, and quite a few other markets besides. Take a look on Betfair today and you may well be able to wager on sports such as Australian Rules football, pelota(?) and ice hockey. But you can also bet on the financial markets, politics, and even the contestants in game shows such as Big Brother.

10. Place your bets 24 hours a day: How many times have you opened the Racing Post at 8:00am at the breakfast table, and read about the Pricewise bet of the day? You obviously cannot bet at the local bookmakers because their shop doesn’t open til 10 o’clock. But you think, hey, I’ll place a bet on-line – you go to their web site and they haven’t priced the race up yet! With Betfair you can bet when you want. You can take advantage of early prices before everyone else starts betting on the same horse and the price collapses. You can post all your bets before you go to work, taking the odds available, or naming your price.

It's free to open an account with Betdaq and Betfair and both sites have an easy-to-follow help section which is particularly useful to familiarize yourself with exchange betting. Pay a visit to both sites, compare the odds available with those offered by your bookmaker, then maybe place your next bet with a fellow punter.

Click here to go to the Betfair website

Click here to go to the Betdaq website

Thursday, December 28, 2006

Hugo makes it a Grez day

Only the one qualifying win bet today, but Hugo De Grez was disappointing. Once again, no value to be found by opposing horses, so with the only win bet losing, the account dropped a single point today.