Bahia draws a Blanca

Today's Analysis:
Taunton, 1:10
This is a class 3 novice hurdle for mares only and raced over 2m 3f, and today the going at Taunton is officially soft. Over Sixty will be the red hot favourite for this race, but at a prohibitively short price. I am going to play the odds in our favour and go for BAHIA BLANCA at a double figure price. She competed in a similar race earlier this month, and should have benefited from the run.
Verdict:
Back Bahaia Blanca at 12/1 (13.00) Result: unplaced

Taunton, 2:50
A class 4 handicap chase over 2m 7f. The forecast favourite is Iris's Prince but my preference is for the forecast second favourite ENROBLIM TROP He comes here off the back of a win under similar going at Folkestone at the beginning of the month.
Verdict:
Back Enroblim Trop at 9/2 (5.50) Result: unplaced

Taunton, 3:25
Bumper races are typically unreliable as betting heats, with little form history to draw upon. If you do decide to play, often it is useful to see how the market is shaping up before making any final decisions. Pepe Simo from the Paul Nicholls yard will probably be odds on favourite this afternoon, which is ridiculously short with so many unknowns in the field. Instead, I shall go for PIPE BANNER for a bit of value.
Verdict:
Back Pipe Banner at 11/4 (3.75) Result: 2nd

Monday horse racing summary

Musselburgh, 12:10
This is a class 5 maiden hurdle run over 2m 4f and the going at Musselburgh today is described as good to firm. Broadway Star is the likely favourite but my preference is for FORTYSECOND STREET He has had a run in public to get used to the race day atmosphere, and he will have come on for that run, and Howard Johnson has a good record at this track.
Verdict:
Back Fortysecond Street at 5/2 (3.50) Result: WON at 11/4

Newbury, 12:30
A class 3 novice chase, and the going today at Newbury is described as good to soft. PLANET OF SOUND has won at this level over hurdles, and returned a solid performance in his chasing debut at Sandown last month.
Verdict:
Back Planet Of Sound at 2/1 (3.00) Result: WON at 13/8F

Musselburgh, 12:45
Snowy is likely to be sent off the favourite for this class 4 handicap chase over 3m. However, I think it may be worth siding with OH YAH DANCER from the Nicky Richards yard. He is well treated based on his hurdles form, and if he can take to fences he will be a contender at a decent price.
Verdict:
Back Oh Yah Dancer at 13/2 (7.50) Result: unplaced

Newbury, 1:35
Despite only five runners this chase promises to be very competitive. Gone To Lunch will probably start as favourite, but I am going to look elsewhere in the field for the winner. Trigger The Light is tempting but I am going for MR POINTMENT He finished runner up in a class 1 chase recently, so I'm hoping he can take this class 2 race this afternoon.
Verdict:
Back Mr Pointment at 7/2 (4.50) Result: 2nd at 3/1

Newbury, 2:10
This is a class 2 hurdle race over 2m. Dave's Dream will probably be the market choice but I am plumping for CHINA GOLD saddled by Alan King. He shaped well in a class 3 maiden race last time out, and although today's race represents a step up in class, Alan King knows how to ready his horses.
Verdict:
Back China Gold at 4/1 (5.00) Result: 2nd at 9/4

Newbury, 2:45
This is a Grade 1 novice hurdle over 2m 5f and looks to be between Diamond Harry and MASSASOIT The morning prices show the market is heavily in favour of Diamond Harry, and it looks like he will go off at odds on. I am going to take the resultant value as the price on Massasoit is pushed out.
Verdict:
Back Massasoit at 5/2 (3.50) Result: unplaced

Newbury, 3:15
This is a class 3 novices handicap chase over 2m 6f. The two that take my eye are Calusa Caldera and NORTH ISLAND and I shall nominate the latter because after winning his chasing debut he is well treated compared to his hurdle form.
Verdict:
Back North Island 7/1 (8.00) Result: unplaced 9/2

Musselburgh, 3:30
This is a class 4 handicap hurdle over 2m. Kyber from the Jim Goldie yard will likely start as favourite, but I am looking further down the field at a horse called MASAFI saddled by Howard Johnson. He is dropping back in class today, and I think a race such as this is within his compass.
Verdict:
Back Masafi at 9/2 (5.50) Result: unplaced

Newbury, 3:50
Silver Blondin is the forecast favourite for the bumper, but my preference is for CHAPOLIMOSS ridden by Robert Thornton. The price seems good value to me for a horse from a yard that knows how to produce horses for National Hunt Flat races.
Verdict:
Back Chapolimoss at 7/1 (8.00) Result: unplaced

Sunday 21st December

Carlisle, 12:50 Skippers Brig lines up for a class 3 novice chase over 2m 4f in heavy going. He won his chasing debut at this course last month, in similar conditions, so deserves his place at the top of the market. Verdict: Back at 9/4 (3.25) Result: Won at 15/8

Carlisle, 1:25 This is a handicap chase over 3m. Nelliedonethat is the likely favourite. He has yet to win over fences, and has been put up 3lbs since his latest run. I think the heavy going and the extra weight will prove too much for him. Verdict: Lay at 11/4 (3.75) Result: 2nd at 9/4JF

Carlisle, 1:55 Another handicap chase, this time over 3m 2f. Royal Mackintosh will probably be sent off the favourite. So far his winning form is a couple of class 4 chases in novice company, so a win today would represent a career best performance. I would be tempted to lay him to lose at a short enough price. Verdict: Lay at 6/4 (2.50) Result: Won at 13/8F

Carlisle, 2:25 This is another handicap chase, and this time for mares only. Rosie All Over will be a short priced favourite and considering she has not won in this level of company before, over hurdles nor fences, I think the value would be to oppose her. Verdict: Lay at evens (2.00) Result: Lost at 6/4F

Carlisle, 3:00 Deuteronomy contests this handicap chase over 2m 4f. He has the form in the book to win this kind of race so is worth a punt. Verdict: Back at 9/2 (5.50) Result: Lost at 7/2

Carlisle, 3:30 To conclude an afternoon of handicap chases, yet another handicap chase! Nicozetto won last time out, and can handle heavy going. I am a little concerned about the sharp trip, as he has been contesting races up at 3m of late. But he could prove good value. Verdict: Back at 6/1 (7.00) Result: Lost at 11/2

Account Bets:
Carlisle 3:00, Deuteronomy: back to win at 9/2 (5.50) or better
Carlisle 3:30, Nicozetto: back to win at 6/1 (7.00) or better

The Prize Lay

Sportsworld have just released The Prize Lay a new laying system.

For more details visit the SportsWorld website at the link below:

CLICK HERE for more details on The Prize Lay system

I picked the right Charlie

Another solid performance today, and just over 2 points profit to show for my efforts. My first selection didn't reach my advised price, so goes down as a 'no bet'. This was followed by a losing bet, but happily I finished the day with a winner at Southwell. You would be skint following Charles Parnell blindly, but he was back down to a winning mark today in a class 5 handicap. Today's race was particularly weak, and was never going to take a special horse to win, and at better than 3/1 I thought his price was representing good value. He followed up his recent second with a win today, and ensured I returned a profit for the day.

Profit so far this month: 10 points
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I'm definitely not Bleu

A good start to a new month, with both the back-to-win account, and the lay-to-lose account returning a profit. This morning I suggested three horses we should back, and two of them duly went on to win. First up was Don't Be Bleu at Folkestone. Making his chasing debut, he had three wins at this level over hurdles, so I felt a price of 2/1 was ample if he could only translate his hurdling ability to fences. It was a good choice as he came home the winner. This was followed up by SingleB winning at Wolverhampton.

I proposed just the one lay bet today, namely the race favourite Dayia in the 3:40 race. The horse lost, and presented me with another 4 points profit.

Total profit so far this month: 8 points
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Hector the right Choice

The lay bets continue on smoking hot form, and I had a good return from the win bets as well today. I proposed three horses to back in the morning, the first two were unsuccessful, but then Hectors Choice lined up for the conditional jockeys handicap hurdle at Newbury. Trainer Philip Hobbs has a good winning record in this race, and this French horse showed promise in his first race in this country at Exeter last month. The early boards were offering 4/1 which I felt was good value, and I suggested getting on at 7/2 or better. It was a rewarding bet as the gelding came home in front.

My lay bets returned a juicy 17 points profit, despite my last selection winning at Great Leighs.

Profit so far this month: 110 points
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Wednesday horse racing summary and weekly results

An uninspiring day today, three bets losing, and three points profit lost. One of my suggested bets was to back Flake in a class 3 handicap chase at Wetherby. He has winning form over fences at this level, and so I saw his double figure price as particularly good value. However, he ended up the last horse to cross the finish line, I couldn't have been more wrong, and it was then clear why he was priced in double figures! Where did I put that crystal ball?

I did not propose any lay bets today.

Results from the last 7 days

I've produced four winners from nineteen Back-To-Win bets this past week, and just about broken even with a little over a single point profit. Not great, but treading water is still preferable to drowning.

The Lay Bets have continued to prove lucrative, and my six succesful lay bets from a total of nine have returned a fraction under 19 points profit.

Weekly profit results: Win Bets 1pt, Lay Bets 18 pts

Total profit so far this month: 91 pts
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Go, go Vogarth

A most satisfying day at the office today, with more than 30 points profit to stuff away in the satchel. The day started well at Southwell as I suggested backing Vogarth in the amateur riders handicap race over a mile. The gelding had showed promise recently finishing in runner up spot a couple of times in course and distance maidens. Although only a speculative punt to take victory, I felt that the 8/1 available this morning was much too high a price, and he was the value bet. Make this kind of bet consistently and over time you will win more than you give back. My other win bet came second at 16/1

To cement a fine day's work, all three of my lay bets lost, and at advised stakes returned another 25 ponts profit.

Profit so far this month: 94 points
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Monday horse racing summary

By contrast to last week when I had a day when every selection won, today all my selections lost. But just like last week this was good and bad news. The bad news this time was that all three of my back-to-win selections lost, and three points came off the account.

However, my two lay-to-lose selections also came a cropper, good news! I advised a maximum lay bet against Merrydown in the novices hurdle at Ayr. He won last time out, and also at this level, but today's race distance represented a marked drop back in trip. He was forecast to be odds on which given the question mark over the trip made it a no-brainer to lay. Laying at odds on meant we could leverage the stake, and when he finished only third we collected 12 points profit. My other lay bet also lost to give me a bonus 2 points.

11 points profit in total from my efforts today, so I'm a happy bunny.

Profit so far this month: 61 points
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Monday horse racing summary

A small profit was the result of my punting efforts this afternoon. I proposed three win bets and found a winner in Woolston Ferry at Wolverhampton. Earlier I had suggested backing Marleybow at Carlisle. Owner Graham Wylie clearly thought a lot of this horse when entering him in a couple of Grade 2 hurdle races earlier this year. This exercise ended in disappointment and Howard Johnson has now switched him to chases. Today was a class 3 novice chase event, and Howard Johnson enjoys particular success at this northern track, so I felt the price of 7/2 to 4/1 generally available was quite generous. The booking of Tony NcCoy to ride was also encouraging. But the horse did not improve from his chasing debut as one might expect, and it was not to be. He finished fourth some distance off the winner.

Profit so far this month: 22 points
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Wednesday horse racing summary and weekly results

A loss of 5 points from the account today, as all five of my win bets failed to score any returns. I was looking for a value bet against the long odds-on favourite Cosmea in the novice hurdle at Huntingdon. Kahsabelle was bringing some good French form on soft ground, and certainly her flat form was good enough to take a race of this class. So I took her as the best of the rest and at 10/1 I hoped she would relish her first race over hurdles. She did prove to have the beating of the rest of the field, but was unable to get the better of the favourite.

I did not propose any lay bets today.

Results from the last 7 days

I finished October with a best ever monthly profit figure of 140 points. This was due almost entirely to an outstanding performance from my Lay Bets of more than 100 points. Laying horses to lose is very often a profitable strategy when we move from the Flat season to the Jumps, and vice versa. Form is that bit more unreliable, and there are far more "talking horses" over-bet and presenting good value to oppose.

The strike rate has been poor for the Win Bets this past week. I have had twenty bets, yet only seen three winners. However, these three have returned 5 points profit, and included a 16/1 winner.

I've had eight lay bets this week, and seen six of these overturning the favourite. I took a big hit with a maximum bet at 5/2 which obviously put a sizeable dent in the account of 25 points, and as a result the Lay Bets lost 3 points overall this week.

For the time being I am happy to be basking in the (self-awarded) glory of my first 100 point month, and I hope to continue in the rich vein of form.

Weekly profit results: Win Bets 5pts, Lay Bets -3pts loss

Total profit so far this month: 0.5 pts
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Tuesday horse racing summary

I took a big lay bet on the chin this afternoon, which left me with a loss overall to the account today of some 16 points. From the three win bets I proposed this morning, two of these managed runner-up spot, but obviously no pay out. The third did not reach my advised price, and so went down as a 'no bet'.

The lay bets started well this afternoon, and I landed a maximum bet against the odds-on favourite at Exeter According To Dick. But I also went to the maximum against Bally Conn in the stayers handicap hurdle. He was coming here off the back of a win by a narrow margin in a similar event, but had been raised by 7lbs since. I thought the handicapper may well just have got the horse pegged, especially carrying the extra weight around the undulating course at Exeter. In a 14 runner handicap 2/1 is a very skinny price and so it was a no-brainer to lay the horse to lose. On this occasion I was proven wrong as the horse won by a short head. But the backers will have had some sweaty palms I am sure. Nonetheless, the win put a big 25 point dent in my account as I was matched at 5/2

Profit so far this month: 5 points
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Sayonara Kerayasi

I can add another 13 points to the bottom line this evening, as two more successful lay bets brought home the bacon this afternoon. I had proposed three win bets this morning, but only one (Bynack Mhor at Plumpton) reached my suggested value price. He finished unplaced, so a loss of a point there.

But I managed to get two favourites beaten. First, Art Trend went down for a maximum 10 point bet. Then I advised bets against Kerayasi running at Plumpton. Before today, Kerayasi had just two wins to his name from twenty starts, both in low grade flat races. He had raced only twice over hurdles, both times at a lower grade than this afternoon. Today he was voted by the market the favourite to take a class 4 hurdle race - why? I laid bets against him for 4 points, and he finished in 6th position.

Profit so far this month: 21 points
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The doors are open....

The Great BIG Horse Racing Give-Away is now LIVE!

http://www.horseracing-giveaway.com/

Finally, after all the cloak and dagger stuff last week, I can tell you what is happening today.

Twenty-eight horse racing marketers are giving away over £1,200 worth of eBooks, software, downloads, reports, trials, and systems for FREE - with absolutely no catch!

No need to get your wallet out, as you will not have to pay for a single thing.

These gifts are simply my way of saying a big "Thank You" for being a loyal reader of my newsletter and a follower of my blog. As well as a reader, you may also be a customer of mine, and so it is my absolute pleasure to be able to give you something "extra" to thank you for your custom.

Please be warned, this fantastic offer will only be available for a limited period, so I suggest you get on over to the web site pronto and start filling your boots!

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Enjoy....

It's all kicking off on Monday!

I posted a cryptic message last week about an event which launches on Monday. Still sworn to secrecy, but make sure you visit this web site below at noon on Monday lunchtime...

HorseRacingGiveAway.com

Rocket Rob fizzles out

I don't know how the weather has been where you live, but it's been a miserable day here in Tring, and the rain is still coming down on the glass roof of my office. A miserable day for the account today as well. I say "miserable" - I lost 2 points, which still leaves quite a bit to have to give back if we are not to see a record breaking month for October (see below).

Sadly all four of my Win Bets went down and this account is not performing as well as last month.

On the other hand, the Lay Bets are firing like a Formula One engine that has just come roaring out of the pits! I had just the one morning favourite to bet against today, and that was Rocket Rob running at Yarmouth. Had been raised 5lbs for his win over 6f at the beginning of September, so back up to 7f he was carrying a half stone more than his only other win at this distance. This morning he was trading at the 3/1 mark and I felt that was low enough to have a bet against him. I layed him for 2 points and he finished in mid-division. So a couple of points profit to offset against the four lost from the Win Bet account.

Profit so far this month: 142 points
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Free Bets blog

If a bookmaker is offering a free bet to entice you to open an account "Fill yer boots!" is what I say.

Just been reading the blog site associated with one of the most helpful free bets sites around Free-Bets.co.uk Pay a visit at the link below.

If you've been given a 'dead cert' by one of your mates in the 4 o'clock at Catterick later, why not put yourself in a win-win situation and get the bookies to pay for your bet?

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Monday horse racing summary

I managed a good net return of 7 points to add to the bottom line of the account today. I saw two horses from three come home in runners-up position. However, I'm afraid to say that unless the bookmakers are feeling particularly generous, they still do not pay out on second place round where I live! So three points down with my win bets.

My lay bets today produced much better returns. I proposed four horses to oppose, and three of these lost. Ghanaati was a short-priced favourite which justified its market position when winning at Kempton. On the other hand, I also suggested a maximum bet in opposition to Hallingdal, also to be seen at Kempton this afternoon. She had won over course and distance previously - a major excuse for punters to 'pile in' and for bookmakers to shorten the price. But her previous win was over a lower class of competition, and she has been raised in the weights since. So when I saw she was likely to be offered at a price representing a 33% chance of winning, I jumped at the chance of laying her heavily.

She finished with only two others behind her, and I bagged 10 points profit.

Profit so far this month: 144 points
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It's happening next Monday

Something pretty special is about to take place next Monday. You may well hear about it from a lot of others this week, and I cannot reveal anything detailed at the moment.

You can take a look but there will not be much to see, until next week.

Suffice to say you will not want to miss this....

The Sharp End

SportsWorld have released a new backing system by Bernard Hibbert called "The Sharp End".

Get the full details at the SportsWorld web site here:

CLICK HERE to read more about The Sharp End betting system

Monday horse racing summary

Not a good day at all, and I've given back a slice of this month's profits today. I proposed four win bets this morning, and all four lost. The blow of a losing day can often be softened with at least one winner to give you the confidence you are still doing something right. But that was not to be this afternoon.

I also suggested two horses to oppose. I felt the handicapper had Inchwood pegged after raising her mark by 8lbs for her win in a class 4 race. Since then she has contested two class 3 handicaps and not tested the winners. So today I was not expecting a win, and looked to lay bets against her at 4/1 or lower. When she opened on course at 5/2 I quickly laid her to lose for a 5 point stake, before she eased in the market to go off the 3/1F I was wrong to oppose the filly today, and she took nearly 14 pints out of the account. Since we have amassed over 100 points with the lay bets this month alone, I wasn't too disappointed. In fact, it was only a matter of time before a winner would put a dent in the accounts. My other lay bet was to oppose Thewhirlingdervish for 4 points. The horse was duly beaten so I managed to salvage a little back.

Profit so far this month: 104 points
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Saturday horse racing summary

A slight loss to the account today. I proposed four win bets this morning, and three of them lost. Poquelin produced a thrilling come back to win at Cheltenham, and I managed to recoup most if not all of the losses.

Poquelin has winning class 2 hurdle form, and had already won his chasing bow at Newton Abbot before today's race. So if he could live up to his hurdles ability then today's race was well within his compass, and I was looking for a price of 5/2 or better to make the reward worth the risk. He touched 11/4 leading up to the off, and I grabbed this before he was eventually sent off at 5/2 After a bad mistake at the water jump left him detached from the leaders and seemingly out of a chance, he showed great heart by powering up the Cheltenham hill to come past all his rivals.

No lay bets to report today.

Profit so far this month: 119 pts
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All in against Laddies Poker Two

Please excuse the very weak pun. Half of me wanted to lay a decent bet against Laddies Poker Two, just to give me the excuse to post that lousy title. The other half recognised the fact that the only race this filly had won to date, without the help of the handicapper to even the field, was a class 5 maiden. Yet here she was this afternoon, lining up in a Listed race, and priced at 11/8F The value bet was clearly to oppose her, and I layed her for my maximum 10 points. She finished soundly beaten into sixth place and around 5 lengths shy of the winner in a 6f sprint.

I suffered a small loss on the Win Bet account. My first horse Run For The Hills came home the winner at 13/8 with 11/4 generally available this morning. However, the subsequent three bets all lost to leave me a little out of pocket.

But more than 9 points profit overall, and a solid day's work.

Profit so far this month: 120 pts
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Dodgy Favourites

Paul Fowlie has released his latest system called 'Dodgy Favourites'. Many of you may well have heard about Paul already, and his excellent On-Course betting service.

I shall be keeping an eye on this new system for a few weeks, but if you want to find out more right now, then follow the link below:

CLICK HERE to read about 'Dodgy Favourites'

Thursday horse racing summary

I moved the account forward by more than 6 points today, thanks to a successful lay bet. I proposed three selections to win this morning, but it was two horses that reached my suggested value prices to be final bets. However, these both lost.

Big Bound was running his second race - a maiden at Nottingham. He was short priced due to a close finishing second on his debut. Expected to come on for the run, he was a red hot favourite to win today, especially with the booking of Frankie Dettori. But although he was the most likely to win, the price of 4/5 odds-on was still way too short compared with his real chance of winning. This is how bookmakers make their profits over time. Not all red hot favourites win, and by offering such ridiculously skinny prices, when they do win the bookmakers have a minimal pay out. The value was to lay the horse to lose, and that's what I did, and for a stake of 7 points. When the colt lost at an odds-on price of 4/5 my return was a profit of 8.75 points.

Profit so far this month: 110 points
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Interview with Matt Watson of Favourites Phenomenon

I've just finished reading a feature on Matt Watson. If you don't know, Matt is first and foremost a musician by trade. He looked at the probability side of betting, and with a penchant for all things analytical, decided he would make betting pay by re-visiting a well-explored method of staking.

I found it a very absorbing read, and if you want to read the interview in full just click on the link below:

Read the interview with Matt Watson HERE

Quiet on the Set please

I moved the account forward by a single point today, having seen Film Set win at Newbury. He was contesting his second race, a class 4 maiden over 6f The colt came up short by just a head in his first outing a couple of weeks ago in a similar race, so I was looking for him to come on for that experience. I was somewhat concerned to see him drifting in the market, and I managed to get matched at 3/1 before the off. Happily the horse did not know the market was not confident in his ability, and Frankie drove him on to win.

My lay bet for the day was Orchard House at Wincanton. I saw this as a fantastic opportunity to oppose a red hot favourite, and suggested a maximum lay bet of 10 points. Just before sending out my advice message he was trading at a ridiculously short 8/11F but almost immediately started to lengthen. By the time the race started he was still favourite, but at a much more generous 11/8F He could only manage sixth place. I know a few of you managed to get matched early on at my recommended price of 8/11 but the majority of members missed out. For this reason the bet must go down as a 'no bet' and the 10 points will not appear on my results.

But it still demonstartes the form the Lay Bets are enjoying at the moment.

Profit so far this month: 64 pts
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Wednesday horse racing summary and weekly results

Mixed results this afternoon. I had my eye on three outsiders at Exeter, Towcester, and Nottingham, all three at double figure prices, but they all failed without even a placing. I managed to end the day in front though, as Native City came home up the hill at Towcester at a respectable 4/1 He has been steadily improving all season, with more than his fair share of second places, so I felt he must be due his next win. I managed to get matched at 11/2 on Betfair which I considered to be his worth, and I was rewarded with a profitable bet.

No lay bets today.

Results from the last 7 days

Most savvy punters throttle back a little around this time of year, as we make the transition from Flat to Jumps. Form is a little less reliable so it's a wise move to make. I prefer, however, to be that bit more aggressive, take advantage of the unpredictability of racing at this time, and focus on my lay bets. This week in particular that approach has paid spectacular dividends!

I've had nine lay bets this week, and all nine horses have been beaten. All were either race favourites, or morning favourites. At my advised stakes these bets have returned a stupendous 56 points profit, so I guess we should now look out for a few winners to blow some of this profit out of the water! Call me a pessimist.

Good news also on the Win Bet account, where 21 bets returned 4 decent priced winners including one at 8/1 SP and a 6 point profit overall. Not as good as the Lay bets, but sometimes it's comforting to know you can rely on a steady profit. Big profits in a week has a scary side, because experience tells you to expect the 'darker' side to betting, where 'good things' finish second and 'no-hopers' win the race. Call me a pessimist (again).

For the time being we can enjoy the purple patch.

Weekly profit results: Win Bets 6pts, Lay Bets 56pts

Total profit so far this month: 63.5 pts
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Sunday horse racing summary

A quiet day with just the two win bets proposed this morning. Both of these lost. Since being switched to hurdles Predictive had run exclusively at Uttoxeter, and I was looking for him to score his first win. It's easy to look back now and see his better runs have come on faster ground, but I would say he coped well with the soft going at the Midlands track today. However, the other joint favourite prevailed, and Predictive has proven an expensive horse to follow so far.

No lay bets to report on today.

Profit so far this month: 30 points
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Saturday horse racing summary

A bumper collection day today. Two winners from three win bets, and a very profitable lay bet, saw just over 20 points added to my bottom line. Morestead got things started at Fontwell, winning at 8/1, followed by Il Warrd finishing first at Redcar.

My only lay bet of the day was Liberation at Newmarket. His last run was a convincing win in a class 3 handicap worth £6,000. However, today he was stepping up in class to compete for a prize of £492,000 and facing much, much stiffer opposition. Mark Johnston's horses are in fine form at the moment, but I still felt that the price of 2/1 was too short about this colt. I went against him for 9 points profit, and he could finish only fourth.

Profit so far this month: 32 points
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Wednesday horse racing summary and weekly results

Mixed results this afternoon, as two of my four Win Bets came home in front to return more than 8 points profit. But with my Lay Bets I managed to trip over a couple of winners, and lost 7 points from the account. So if you follow my win bets only, you will be pleased as punch this evening. If you are a layer you will be licking your wounds. And if you follow my service completely then you will have bumped your account forward a point or two.

I was against Stevie Junior in the Nursery at Kempton this evening. The old favourite is to back the top weight in a nursery, but Stevie Junior had only a win in his maiden to his name, and today was racing in better company and giving weight away to all his competitiors. He was priced at very short odds-on so I was going to lay him to lose all day. I was proven wrong on this occasion, but this type of race is where layers make money in the long run.

Results from the last 7 days

It's been a tremendous finish to September, with 7 winners from 21 bets in the past week, with prices including 7/1, 14/1, and 9/1, and producing a whopping profit in excess of 32 points. The pessimist in me suggests now we have to anticipate the inevitable losing spell, but I'm enjoying the moment for the time being.

Not such good news with the Lay Bets. I have put up 7 Lay Bets, and been successful with four of them. However, those three winners cost me over 8 points profit in all

Weekly profit results: Win Bets 32.5pts, Lay Bets 8.5pts loss

Total profit so far this month: 1.5 pts
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September newsletter

Welcome to the latest edition of my Newsletter. The main purpose of the monthly Newsletter is to summarize the results of the previous month, and to give you a "heads up" on any exciting news or events to come in the next few weeks.

With th St Leger now behind us the Jumps season will soon be in full swing. The first major race The Racing Post Trophy takes place at the end of this month at Doncaster. The all-weather tracks will also start to provide us with more entertainment, and if the wet summer was anything to go by, and turf meetings find themselves waterlogged, I am sure there will be many days when opportunities to profit from betting will only come from racing on the sand. This winter we can look forward to a bit more all-weather variety, as Great Leighs is now on the fixture list.

Quite a feature-filled newsletter this month, including a great interview, and the results of the Readers Poll...

In this month's issue:

• Results for September
• Interview with Matt Watson from Favourites Phenomenon System
• Review of Paul Fowlie's On-Course Betting Service
• Results of this year's Readers Poll
• Discover the VIP Betting Club
• More horse racing articles
• How you can earn money telling people about my web site

September Results
It may be a cliche, but September really was a game of two halves. Half way through the month and the profit line was like a very weak swimmer - just about keeping his head above water! But then we hit a purple patch and by the end of the month the Win Bets had returned a monumental profit of 73 points. The strike rate was nothing much above normal at 26% but what made the difference was six winners at double-figure prices. 21 winners from 82 bets.

Profits for the Lay bets were disappointing, although still they were profits and not losses. However, we never got more than 10 points in front, and ended up with a little under 5 points to put in the satchel. 20 successful Lay Bets from 26.

I'm always grateful for having the Win Bets AND the Lay Bets, as it invariably seems that when one is under-performing, the other is bringing home the bacon.

Back-to-Win Selections:

Profit : 73.70 points
Profit to £50 stakes : £3,685
Profit so far this year : £10,575
Strike rate : 26%
Return on Investment : 190%
Longest winning run : 3
Longest losing run : 8

Lay Bets:

Profit : 4.92 points
Profit to £50 stakes : £246
Strike rate : 77%
Profit so far this year : £3,956

Click here to join my service TODAY


Interview with Matt Watson from Favourites Phenomenon System
This month Paul Whelan is speaking with Matt Watson the author of The Favourites Phenomenon eBook. Matt talks about how he looked to supplement a professional musician's income through betting, the sportsmen and women who have inspired him, and a bizarre incident in a Montreal hotel.....

Click here to read the interview in full


Paul Fowlie's On-Course Betting Service
Whenever you watch coverage of horse racing on the television, or listening on the radio, there will ALWAYS be someone at the course, and usually in and around the paddock area. It is their job to report back the very latest information about horses running at the track that day.

What is the horse's form? How well does he look being led around the paddock? What does the trainer think of his chances today? Has the jockey been impressed by his work on the gallops at home? Is he getting too warm and sweating up? How did he travel to post?

All of this bang up to date and valuable information is simply not available by reading the Racing Post or your daily newspaper, and will give you that vital advantage over other punters.

How would you like to have your very own Man At The Course? Your own paddock watcher? Your own professional punter at the track?

Well that is the very service provided by Paul Fowlie.

Visit www.PaulFowlie.co.uk

Paul is one of a dwindling number of tipsters who actually spend alot of time at the races. In a typical month Paul attends around fifteen meetings within sensible driving distance of his northern base. Whenever he is going out for the day, he will spend several hours studying the card before posting his intended bets on his website and also on a telephone message line.

Whilst at the course he may receive information or see something that convinces him to change his betting plan. As a member of Paul's service you will be relayed this up to date information through a text messaging service.

Paul often picks up juicy titbits of inside information on the way to, and whilst at the course. Again, this information is passed onto members. This is valuable information that you simply would not be privy to without being on course.

At the end of the day Paul summarizes his day at the races on his web site.

Many professional gamblers invite you to follow them to make a profit from horse racing. But where Paul Fowlie offers that extra bit more, is that he practically allows you to travel with him to the track and watch over his shoulder!

CLICK HERE for more details of this comprehensive service


Results of The Readers Poll 2008
Today I am really pleased to be able to announce the winners of the Readers' Poll we ran last month.

Go to www.ReddRacing.co.uk/poll-winners

The response from everybody has been spectacular to say the least!

I received precisely 6,744 replies and I would like to thank all of you who took the trouble to send in your votes.

If you remember, I asked you to let me know your favourite tipsters, products, websites, systems, software, etc. because I wanted to compile a definitive list of proven products and services as chosen and recommended by YOU the readers.

View the full results at www.ReddRacing.co.uk/poll-winners

Thanks again to everyone who contributed.

Have You Heard About The VIP Betting Club?
You may have tried my daily racing service recently, and perhaps you decided against joining. Did you find a daily service was impractical and un-workable during the week? Do you prefer a smaller number of targetted, highly selective bets? Well I have some great news just for you!

I want to tell you about a professional betting service, which gives out only around 4-6 well-researched bets each month -- it's called my VIP Betting Club.

Click here to visit the VIP Betting Club web page

I often receive feedback from people who prefer to bet mostly at the week-ends, and to invest in a reliable source of laser-targetted professional bets. Which is just one of the reasons I introduced the 'VIP Betting Club' service for the discerning racing punter.

I'm giving you the opportunity to sample this exciting service completely free of charge, so you can see for yourself exactly how good my information is.

I am more than happy to give you an appetizer, and it will cost you nothing to receive the next VIP selection. Visit the Club webpage at www.reddracing.co.uk/vip to read about some of the winning selections members have celebrated this year.


More Horse Racing Articles
As the name suggests, HorseRacingArticles.co.uk is a web site dedicated entirely to UK horse racing news, articles, interviews, and reviews. You can even browse through a collection of free horse racing systems.

If you want free content to re-publish on your website then look no further.

Why not register as an author? Submit an article yourself, and you can get a link back to your website and tons of free traffic.

For more horse racing articles visit HorseRacingArticles.co.uk


Earn BIG MONEY with my Affiliate Program
If this is your first newsletter, you may not be aware that absolutely anybody can earn some really generous commission payments by simply referring people to my web site for a free trial of my service.

In a nutshell, I will pay you up to £60 for every visitor you send to my web site. If someone decides to join my service having been referred by you, then I will pay you half of their membership fee by way of a "Thank You".

This opportunity is open to everybody, and you do not have to be a member of my service to become an affiliate partner of Redd Racing. Neither do you need to have your own web site -- indeed you don't have to have any technical skills whatsoever. I will provide you with all the tools and training you need to promote my web site effectively.

You have absolutely nothing to lose, and everything to gain by signing up as an affiliate right now!

Click here to join my Affiliate Program


....and finally
The trainer was giving last minute instructions to the jockey and appeared to slip something into the horse's mouth, just as a steward walked by.

"What was that?" inquired the steward. "Oh nothing" said the trainer, "just a polo".

He offered one to the steward and had one himself.

After the suspicious steward had left the scene the trainer continued with his instructions "Just keep on the rail. You are on a certainty. The only thing that could possibly pass you down the home straight is either the steward or me!"

I hope you have enjoyed reading this Newsletter, and until next month, and as ever, you have my warmest best wishes. Good luck if playing today.

Max

This month's Redd Racing newsletter was produced in asscociation with SkyBlueKangaroo.com which provides a one-stop shop for horse racing and betting products and services. Systems, guides, books, tipsters, and more.

Click here to visit SkyBlueKangaroo.com

Minus Fifteen frozen out of the race

It would be an exaggeration to say that there is absolutely nothing better than rounding off a winning month with a winning day, but it is definitely satisfying. And this afternoon I added another fat and juicy 10 points to the September account, and it has turned out to be one of my much better months.

I had four win bets lined up at Warwick today, and after Brandywell Boy finished runner-up at 13/2 my second selection Baariq won at 2/1 Next was Mith Hill which came 3rd but I finished off the month with a decent priced winner in Jawaab.

My sole lay bet selection today was Minus Fifteen, running on the all-weather at Southwell. He scored a win in a similar race earlier in the summer, but has since been raised 5lbs and seems to be held by the handicapper. This morning you could have taken bets against the horse at 10/3 So if you left the bet til this afternoon you might have missed what I felt was the value price to oppose him. Again Minus Fifteen finished fairly close up, but not close enough, and I collected on the bet.

Profit so far this month: 78 points
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Punching above his weight

Similar to yesterday, it was a relatively quiet afternoon again today. Two win bets, both of which lost, and no lay bets to report. Punching was running in a claimer at Brighton. He has obviously fallen some way from the form he showed back in July when running credibly in a class 3 handicap, but he had a race like today well within his compass and I felt he was value to take on the favourite. Easy to admit after the race that he is now competing in claiming races rather than class 3 handicaps for a reason, but hey, if we all had twenty twenty hindsight....

Profit so far this month: 68 points
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Sunday horse racing summary

A quiet day to finish the week end. Two bets, and alas two losers. I was very keen on Ajhar in the Cumberland Lodge Stakes at Ascot. He had recently broken the course record on the all-weather track at Kempton, and trainer Marcus Tregoning has saddled the winner of this race four times in the last seven years. 13/2 was a decent enough price in my opinion, but he could only mangae a third placing.

No lay bets to report.

Profit so far this month: 70 points
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Today's selections

There seems to be a problem with the ReddRacing.co.uk web site this morning (I cannot see it anyway) so just in case, I am putting today's selection on here. Please note the advised prices and if you cannot get these, it may be better to leave the race without betting.

Sthl 150 Daldini at 10/1
Hayd 420 Stringsofmyheart at 6/4
Hayd 455 Kal Barg at 7/1

Sorry for any inconvenience, and I am assured the 'techie' people are onto the problem with the web site.

Wednesday horse racing summary and weekly results

A cracking day at the office, with three winners from five bets, and a bumper-sized profit haul. Hearthstead Maison was our first success when he got up on the line at Goodwood to share the spoils at 9/1 He had Group race winning form under his belt from last year, and Mark Johnston's horses are in very good form at the moment. So I felt the 9/1 on offer was a little high and represented great value. I followed this up with Shimoni also at Goodwood at 8/1 and Diablo at Perth a short-priced hotpot.

Results from the last 7 days

Undoubtedly I shall be returning a healthy profit when September finishes next week. I will not go so far as to say this is surprising, as I have continued confidence in my methods and this is the attitude every punter should take when they encounter a losing spell, but considering the account was showing a loss mid-way through the month it is extremely gratifying.

This past week I have had 24 Win Bets and found 9 well-priced winners, including three at 10/1, 9/1, and 8/1 resectively at SP.

The Lay Bets account remains quite overall and showed a small loss during the week. I chalked up 7 successful lay bets from 9

Weekly profit results: Win Bets 38pts, Lay Bets 0.5pts loss

Total profit so far this month: 55 pts
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Arachnaphobia!

I surrendered a couple of points profit this afternoon, with a pretty poor betting performance. All three of my proposed win bets lost. I scrambled a point back with my lay bets, but still managed to oppose one winner.

Red Spider was making his race course debut at Kempton this afternoon. There was a lot of money for this colt as his price shrunk from 10/11 to 8/13 The bookmakers were taking no chances but opposing the horse was the value bet. An odds on price to win about a horse that has never raced in public before, can rarely provide a worthwhile return. The risk of your stake versus the potential return is not value, so the best bet in the long run has to be to lay the horse (or obviously leave the race alone altogether!) On this occasion the horse justified the confidence of the market, but these types of bet are what keep the layers in business throughout the season.

Profit so far this month: 21 points
.

Profits beached by Offshore Anna

I lost around two and a half points profits today, as I only managed one short-priced wnner, and a lay bet jumped up and bit me. This morning I proposed four Win Bets and it was only the last Knot In Wood at Hamilton which produced any returns. I grabbed some 6/5 on the exchanges before he was sent off a shade odds on by the bookmakers.

I had successfully layed two horses, when Offshore Anna was running in the last race of the afternoon at Hamilton, a handicap race over 11f. She had been raised 6lbs since her win around a week ago. I thought the soft ground as well as the penalty might just find her out, and I layed bets against her at 5/2 But I was proved wrong as she continued to improve and won by half a length, taking my two and a half points.

Profit so far this month: 23 points
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Take a look at That Look

Three very tasty winners in the last four days, and it's been a couple of weeks since I've been able to say that. A 10/1 winner on Monday, another at 8/1 yesterday, and That Look won at 10/1 today. The horse competes in class 3 company over the jumps, but was stepping down in class this afternoon at Yarmouth in a staying handicap over 2 miles. He was fit, having raced regularly over the summer. So the price of 10/1 represented very good value in my opinion, and I availed myself of 11/1 on Betfair. The field gave him a soft lead, and Chris Catlin made sure they never reeled him in. An enterprising ride if ever I saw one.

I gave a couple of points back as one of my lay bets Persian Sea won at Pontefract. But at the end of the afternoon my accounts were 8 points to the good.

Profit so far this month: 25 points
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Wednesday horse racing summary and weekly results

More than 5 points profit to stash away in the satchel today, as I enjoyed returns from the Win Bets and the Lay Bets. The day got off to a good start with Just The Lady winning at Beverley. She was returning to the track where she recorded has last win back in June. Today she was back to a more favourable mark and I was hoping for at least 4/1 to put my money behind her. She had not attracted much support during the day and her price continued to rise on course, going out to 7/1 by the off and with 8/1 freely available on the exchanges. She wasn't sweating up and looked fine going to post, so Iwasn't concerned, just happy to be getting better value. And she returned a comfortable winner by five lengths.

Priti Fabulous took all my profits from the other two successful lay bets, plus a little more, but it was a good day overall.

Results from the last 7 days

After a period well below par I seem to have turned the corner (he said desperately clutching his wooden desk top). I have had 27 win bets and found 5 well-priced winners, including one at 11/1 The strike rate could still do with some attention, but I am happy to be seeing the decent returns from value horses I have been lacking recently.

I have chalked up 7 successful lay bets from 9 and achieved a small profit to contribute to the bottom line.

All in all a very good week which saw the account move forward from a slight loss for the month, to a healthy profit in line with my typical returns.

Weekly profit results: Win Bets 16.5pts, Lay Bets 1.5pts

Total profit so far this month: 17.5 pts
.

Tuesday horse racing summary

No movement on the account today, as the two points staked on my two win bets were offset by two successful lay bets.

Red Fama was on course for his fourth straight win at Haydock this afternoon, which saw his price shrink to around 2/1 This in itself is a short price in any handicap race where supposedly every horse has an equal chance. But this afternoon Red Fama was carrying a penalty of 15lbs for his last win. He was also stepping up in class, and carrying that extra weight on the heavy going at Haydock. He had a lot of questions to answer and the value bet was to oppose him. He ran a very credible race to finish second, but this still meant we got paid. I also saw Lucayan Dancer overturned for a point at Lingfield earlier in the day.

Profit so far this month: 12 points
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Monday horse racing summary

A profit of 9 points to boost the bottom line today, thanks largely to a win by Errigal Lad at Leicester this afternoon. This horse has been slowly but surely improving throughout the season, and combined with the fact that he had dropped from a mark of 82 back in the Spring, I felt a win today was well within his compass. At a morning price of 10/1 he represented outstanding value in my book. The market appeared to be in agreement, as he opened on course at 8/1 before tumbling in price to 4/1 at the off.

I had two other horses finish in a place this afternoon, and I successfully laid a bet against Mythical Blue at Musselburgh. All in all, a most pleasing, and most welcome day.

Profit so far this month: 12 points
.

A Pretty Bonnie bet

Not a good day overall, with a loss to the account of 4 points in all. Only one from six bets won, and I'm sorry to say this reflects my strike rate at the moment. Pretty Bonnie was contesting a class 4 sprint handicap at Sandown this afternoon. She is an improving filly, having finished 1st or 2nd in all but one of her last seven starts. I felt 7/2 represented a value price about her chances, and as it happens there was plenty of 4/1 available on the exchanges. She won by a head to spare my blushes today.

My only lay bet was Matterofact at Brighton. I was looking for 3/1 to lay bets against the horse, and as he dipped to 11/4 in the ten minutes before the off, I was matched at 3/1 He held on to win by a head, and took my 3 points.

Profit so far this month: 4 points loss

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Wednesday horse racing summary and weekly results

Back from my surprise trip to New York this was not the sparkling return I was hoping for. I proposed four win bets, but without any success.

Cooks Endeavour was running in a nursery at Doncaster off the back of his maiden win at the end of July. I felt he was fairly treated for his first outing in handicap company and the price of 17/2 was tempting. In hindsight a step up in class, and trip, and on soft going was probably too much to ask, and he finished third. But isn't hindsight a wonderful thing?

Results from the last 7 days

Only two days' results to report on this week, as for five days I was in the Big Apple enjoying my 40th birthday. What a place! If anyone is thinking of going at some point, it really is truly awesome. My recommendation is to go on the World Yacht Dinner Cruise to see the city skyline at night. Spectacular! Back to my results. The strike rate from my Win Bets this past week remains pathetic, with a single winner from six bets, and a resulting small loss.

During the past seven days I have not put up any Lay Bets.

And so, although the week showed just a small loss, and no real damage done to the account, the current form is concerning. It is something I am working hard to put right, and I am confident as ever that better results await around the corner.

Weekly profit results: Win Bets 0.5pts loss, Lay Bets no bets

Total profit so far this month: 0.5 pts loss
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I'm off to the Big Apple!!!

OH... MY... GOSH !!!!!

It's my 40th birthday tomorrow, and my wife has just told me she has organised a surprise trip for us to go to New York for the week end! Can you believe it, I am so, so excited...

I am going to send out a message shortly to let everyone know there will be a temorary break in service, and there will be no daily messages until next Wednesday. But just in case anyone is concerned when no message is received over the next few days, and they decide to look here for an explanation, well now you know why.

Not much to add except, I will catch up with everyone again next week.... I cannot get rid of this big grin right across my face... :o)

Tuesday horse racing summary

A small loss to the account today, as whilst I did score a winner with Moville the returns did not quite cover the losses from my two other selections. Moville was running in quite a weak maiden at Goodwood, and as he had been racing with credit in defeat in his recent races, I felt this would his easiest opportunity to date to get off the mark. I also felt the cut in the ground today would suit him. Backed in to 6/4 at the off there was plenty of 7/4 available on the exchanges earlier this morning.

There were no lay bets to report on today, and so a loss of around a quarter point.

Profit so far this month: 2 points
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August Newsletter

Welcome to the latest edition of my Newsletter. The main purpose of the monthly Newsletter is to summarize the results of the previous month, and to give you a "heads up" on any exciting news or events to come in the next few weeks.

The Flat season is drawing to a close, and during the month of September we can look forward to the final Classic of the season with the St Leger at Doncaster. As last year, September also signals that it's time for my annual Readers Poll. This is where you the readers can vote for your favourite horse racing products, services, and web sites. I shall be sending out a survey in the next couple of weeks. Meanwhile, here is the news....

In this month's issue:

• Results for August
• Interview with Neil Gray from WhatToLay.com
• Preview of TrainerTrackStats 2008/9
• Discover the VIP Betting Club
• More horse racing articles
• How you can earn money telling people about my web site

August Results
A solid, if not inspiring performance, from both the Win Bets and the Lay Bets. The Win Bets were still lacking in the strike rate department, with a meagre 26 winners from 105 bets.

Profits for the Lay bets reached almost twenty points before tailing off towards the end of the month. However, they still returned an acceptable profit overall.

Back-to-Win Selections:

Profit : 9.87 points
Profit to £50 stakes : £493
Profit so far this year : £6,890
Strike rate : 25%
Return on Investment : 109%
Longest winning run : 4
Longest losing run : 13

Lay Bets:

Profit : 8.11 points
Profit to £50 stakes : £405
Strike rate : 77%
Profit so far this year : £3,710

Click here to join my service TODAY


Interview with Neil Gray from WhatToLay.com
This month Paul Whelan is speaking with Neil Gray from the laying service web site WhatToLay.com Neil talks about how he is going to be England's next winner at Wimbledon, Team GB's prospects for the Olympics, and his mother-in-law.....

Click here to read the interview in full


Preview of TrainerTrackStats 2008/9
If it's September it means there is a new version of TrainerTrackStats, and this year is no different! If you are not familiar with TrainerTrackStats it is pretty much universally accepted as the best researched guide to trainer performance for the National Hunt season. It is updated every year by the authors Matt Bisogno and Gavin Priestley. The guide is probably the most consistent source of winners throughout the winter. This year the boys are practically giving away the manual (it will cost you just £1 until Friday 5th September) to give as many people as possible the opportunity to sample the subscription service for 30 days. There are also some great videos on their web site which go 'behind the scenes' of the guide. If TrainerTrackStats is new to you, I recommend you visit straight away to see what all the fuss is about.

Click here to visit TrainerTrackStats


Have You Heard About The VIP Betting Club?
You may have tried my daily racing service recently, and perhaps you decided against joining. Did you find a daily service was impractical and un-workable during the week? Do you prefer a smaller number of targetted, highly selective bets? Well I have some great news just for you!

I want to tell you about a professional betting service, which gives out only around 4-6 well-researched bets each month -- it's called my VIP Betting Club.

Click here to visit the VIP Betting Club web page


I often receive feedback from people who prefer to bet mostly at the week-ends, and to invest in a reliable source of laser-targetted professional bets. Which is just one of the reasons I introduced the 'VIP Betting Club' service for the discerning racing punter.
I'm giving you the opportunity to sample this exciting service completely free of charge, so you can see for yourself exactly how good my information is.

I am more than happy to give you an appetizer, and it will cost you nothing to receive the next VIP selection. Visit the Club webpage at www.reddracing.co.uk/vip to read about some of the winning selections members have celebrated this year.


More Horse Racing Articles
As the name suggests, HorseRacingArticles.co.uk is a web site dedicated entirely to UK horse racing news, articles, interviews, and reviews. You can even browse through a collection of free horse racing systems.

If you want free content to re-publish on your website then look no further.

Why not register as an author? Submit an article yourself, and you can get a link back to your website and tons of free traffic.

For more horse racing articles visit HorseRacingArticles.co.uk


Earn BIG MONEY with my Affiliate Program
If this is your first newsletter, you may not be aware that absolutely anybody can earn some really generous commission payments by simply referring people to my web site for a free trial of my service.

In a nutshell, I will pay you up to £60 for every visitor you send to my web site. If someone decides to join my service having been referred by you, then I will pay you half of their membership fee by way of a "Thank You".

This opportunity is open to everybody, and you do not have to be a member of my service to become an affiliate partner of Redd Racing. Neither do you need to have your own web site -- indeed you don't have to have any technical skills whatsoever. I will provide you with all the tools and training you need to promote my web site effectively.

You have absolutely nothing to lose, and everything to gain by signing up as an affiliate right now!

Click here to join my Affiliate Program


....and finally
A young jockey and his stable lass girlfriend make the decision to get married. Everything is planned and the couple intend to honeymoon in Italy for a week. The marriage goes without a hitch and the couple set off on their honeymoon. While checking in at the hotel the lady behind the desk asks "We have two suites available for you sir, would you like the bridal?"

"No thanks" says the jockey "I'll just hold her ears till she gets the hang of it!"

I hope you have enjoyed reading this Newsletter, and until next month, and as ever, you have my warmest best wishes. Good luck if playing today.

Max

This month's Redd Racing newsletter was produced in asscociation with SkyBlueKangaroo.com which provides a one-stop shop for horse racing and betting products and services. Systems, guides, books, tipsters, and more.

Click here to visit SkyBlueKangaroo.com

Monday horse racing summary

A good start to the month, with 3 points profit to put straight into the monthly account. None of these points came from my win bets however, as all three selections went down without a return.

On the other hand, I successfully overturned three of this morning's top of the market horses. I was of the opinion that the handicapper had finally caught up with Elite Land, who was running in a class 6 handicap at Hamilton. Carrying a 3lb penalty for his latest win, and stepping up in distance I felt he was worth taking on over good-to-soft going. As luck would have it, and as he only lost by a nose I have to give at least a little credit to Lady Luck, he found one horse too strong today. But a nose was enough for us to collect on the lay bet for 3 points. I also saw Miacarla beaten for 2 points, and Checklow at Kempton, to make it 6 points in all from the lay bets today.

Profit so far this month: 3 points
.

Summer's over

Here in Hertfordshire the last day of summer has been one of heavy rain - torrential, pouring, heavy rain. Did we actually have a summer? Sadly, the last day of the month was also pretty gloomy for members of my service. I gave out three win bets this morning, and I saw no winners. But at least we were only giving back a little of the profits amassed during the course of the past thirty one days. Both the Back To Win and the Lay To Lose accounts still showed an overall profit for the month. Not huge profits, but profits all the same, and further details in the next Newsletter to go online soon.

Profit so far this month: 17 points
.

He's The Gaffer shows who's boss

The account took a knock this afternoon, with a return from just one bet. He's The Gaffer won at Newton Abbott in a class 4 handicap hurdle. Having been placed in his last five races, in a grade above today's race, and at 31lbs well-in compared to his chase mark this afternoon, he was the obvious choice. But at the 2/1 available this morning I felt there was still value in the price.

This was my only success today, however, compounded by my sole lay bet, which won. But tomorrow will have to be a very poor day indeed, if I do not post another winning month overall.

Profit so far this month: 20.9 points
.

Grab TTS for just £1... plus Special Bonuses

The countdown clock has reached zero.... It's past Friday midday.... and the doors have flung open on the £1 madness...

That's right, TrainerTrackStats is officially released and, for a limited time, you can grab your copy for one pound.

Click here to get straight to it:

http://www.trainer-track-stats.com

If you've missed the action this week (where have you been?!), Matt Bisogno and Gavin Priestley, co-authors of TTS, are conducting a little 'mad scientist' experiment... The reason they are virtually giving TTS away is because they want you to see the golden nuggets it contains.

So here's the deal: 77 pages of pure unadulterated profit (ok, 74 after you take out the title and contents pages), consisting of 145 trainers in the main manual, plus a whopping 288 in the Director's Cut (an appendix at the back of the book) for a quid.

Now here's the kicker - when you sign up for TTS for £1, you will also be enrolled onto a special Members' site, from where you can get the day's qualifiers (if you're too busy / lazy / confused to work them out for yourself). The following day's qualifiers will also appear here for those who have to work (i.e. almost everybody!)

http://www.trainer-track-stats.com

You will get free access to this site for 30 days. At the end of that period, if you wish to continue, you need do nothing, and you will automatically retain your membership at a cost of £37. This will continue for each month you remain a member.

Now, of course, if you just want to buy the guide for a pound, then fair enough: sign up, download, unsubscribe. Simple as that. No problem.

But experience tells Matt and Gavin that many people have problems finding the time or inclination to pick the selections out themselves and are grateful of the service the member site provides. If that's you, then take advantage of the introductory offer and decide if you want to continue when it ends.

Moreover, if you know you want to stay a member, there are two heavily discounted offers for half season (up to Christmas) and full season (to end April 2009) tickets to the membership area.

And, as if TTS for a quid wasn't enough, for this weekend only, you can also download TrainerFlatStats, TTS' sister manual, which is valid until the end of the flat turf season in early November.

That's a whole lot of action for 100 new pence, so take advantage of Matt and decide whether you think he's stupid, generous, smart, or downright mad making this offer!

http://www.trainer-track-stats.com

Bisogno...TrainerTrackStats....What the?

Damn that Matt Bisogno! I can't believe he did this...

He's only gone and decided to virtually give away the full Trainer Track Stats 2008/9.

Here's the deal:

As part of a "one week only" special, Bisogno's giving away the full TTS manual (all 77 profit-soaked pages of it) for a measly one pound. A rotten stinking quid!

He's not only got the 145 trainers to follow around the country in there, but there's also a 'Director's Cut'. And yes, it is w-a-a-a-y better than his acting debut (see the link to TrainerTrackStats.com for that particular event).

In fact, this section alone should retail for at least £97. I've certainly seen a lot less for sale for a lot more than that.

So you're probably thinking, 'OK, What's the catch?'. At least that's what you should be thinking, because no way should this guy be giving away the golden nuggets in here for a song.

Well, here's the rub...

Matt's just about giving TTS away, because he wants to showcase to as many people as possible the amazing winner-finding potential of his research.

He's doing that by providing a month's free trial to a special password protected member page, where the horses to back will be listed. The page will be updated daily for the next day's racing, and all you have to do is login and grab the selections.

Of course, you are perfectly at liberty to use the manual yourself and find the qualifiers for yourself. There are full instructions in the manual.

If you want to do that, you just unsubscribe at any time during your 30 day trial, and you'll never be billed a penny more than your initial pound coin.

My advice though is to stay subscribed at least for a couple of weeks to be sure you're picking out the right horses.

But if you don't have time to pick out the horses each day or let's face it, if you just would rather someone else did the legwork for you, then the subscription option might well be for you. There's fat discounts offered if you choose to subscribe for the full season, or for half a season (i.e. up to Christmas).

Either way, you can't argue with a top quality proven racing system for just £1.

So, set the alarm for midday tomorrow, and get over to TrainerTrackStats.com to be sure of getting your copy.

Maximum Impact

It doesn't get any better than scoring a clean sweep, and today we nailed three from three. The day started with Action Impact running at Lingfield. This gelding has shown good improvement, and consistent form, since arriving at Gary Moore's stable. I felt he had an equal chance of taking the race today as the eventual runner up, and should have been priced around 2/1 against Gracechurch and the rest of the field. Anything above 5/2 and it was a value bet. As it happened you could get 7/2 about him, and he came home in front. My other two selections also came in at 5/2 and 4/1

There were no Lay bets to report on, and so a very useful 10 points profit to stash away come the end of the afternoon.

Selections for Wednesday 27th August

Here are today's selections:

Back to Win

Ayr 210 Henderson Park at 3/1
Ayr 310 A Big Sky Brewing at 4/1
Ayr 410 Vicious Warrior at 7/1
Ayr 510 Killer Class at 6/1

Lay to Lose

Catt 2:50 Forrest Star at 7/2
Catt 3:20 Let It Be at 9/4
Ayr 4:10 Deep Winter at 4/1

Mad scientist 'splits atom'... well, sort of...

I'm not sure if you got a chance to take a look at Matt Bisogno lifting the lid on *The Making of Trainer Track Stats* the other day?

CLICK HERE to visit TrainerTrackStats

If you did, you'll already have an idea of the hard core analysis that he and his co-researcher, Gavin Priestley, have put into it.

If you didn't, or even if you did, Matt's put together another video which is actually the second and final behind the scenes look at TTS.

I have to say that, now I've seen what goes into this product, I'm pretty gobsmacked! I mean, I knew it was good because it's worked for me the last two seasons.

But I had no idea that they went to such 'atom-splitting' levels to unearth the kind of info that's just not available anywhere else.

You can watch Matt put Philip Hobbs under the microscope and literally dissect his track record at Exeter.

Oh, and the result that he uncovers is definitely something you should keep a note of!

Check out the video HERE

PS. I'm quite serious when I say I don't know of another racing systems developer who refines the data as much as this.

The Magic Of Rio

I couldn't see the point of thinking up a pun for today's post title, because my winning horse's name is as good as anything I could dream up. A fine day at the office today, with a cash-injection of some 19 points to add to the account.

I proposed three win bets this morning, and the first of those Magic Of Rio won at Great Leighs. Returned at 7/1 there was plenty of 9/1 available on the exchanges throughout the day. The remaining two selections finished unplaced, but a welcome positive outcome overall, and much welcome.

Both my lay bets lost, including the red hot favourite Masaalek, also running this afternoon at Great Leighs. For sure, this colt had finished close up in a class 2 valuable handicap recently. But his only win to date has been his maiden, so remember that's a victory over horses who have yet to win themselves. And that was at class 5 level. So why he should be the odds on favourite in a conditions stakes was completely beyond me, and a no-brainer lay bet this morning. In fact, I was happy to lay 8 points against him if his price was 11/8 or below. Anything shorter than that, and the value was definitely in the lay bet. I was rubbing my hands when the price went below evens, and I layed him at 4/5 He was sent off at a miserly 4/6F by the bookmakers and finished third to give me 10 points profit in one race. My other lay bet was for a further 2 points against First Avenue at Chester.

Profit so far this month: 25 points
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Wednesday horse racing summary and weekly results

With the second day at York abandoned because the course is underwater (yes, underwater!) it was a quiet day again. I had one win bet Divine Power which came unstuck at Folkestone this evening.

My only proposed lay bet was running in the same race at Folkestone. Her only win aside, every other race she has contested this year she has been some distance off the winner. So I was not convinced she deserved to be the favourite for today's race, and if she dipped below 2/1 I felt the value bet was to oppose her. In the end she did justify favouritism, but I was right to insist on a maximum price as it meant we avoided taking a losing bet.

Results from the last 7 days

The strike rate from my Win Bets this past week has been pathetic, with only three winners from twenty bets. Those three winning bets however, returned enough to cover the losses and so no harm done to the account. But I would still seek to improve on the current hit rate to move the account forward.

No positive story with my Lay Bets either. I have had just the three lay bets this week, and two of these won their race, and so I ended up losing nearly 3 pts.

But I remain ahead overall for the month, with more than 6 points in the Bank.

Weekly profit results: Win Bets 1pt, Lay Bets 3pts loss

Total profit so far this month: 6.5 pts
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Gordon Ramsay will be turning in his gravy

Sorry I couldn't resist the pun in the headline!
You see, I've just had a look at a very interesting video by a guy called Matt Bisogno, author of TrainerTrackStats.

TrainerTrackStats is one of the best selling - and most consistently profitable - racing systems around, and Matt's just posted a video showing what's involved in pulling the manual together.

CLICK HERE to watch the video

If you've ever wondered how racing systems are created, then this is your chance to find out. As far as I know, nobody has ever lifted the lid on their methods previously.

And I reckon Matt is taking a bit of a chance by doing this!

Anyway, check out the video for yourself and see what you think. There will be a number of different videos online over the next few days, so get over to the site quickly to avoid missing anything.

CLICK HERE to watch the video


PS To make the video bigger, click the little icon that looks like an 'x' next to the 'i' in the bottom right of the video window...

PPS The reason for the Gordon Ramsay reference is because Matt has done the video in a kind of recipe format, showing the ingredients and then a bit about the method.

I can't really explain it, it's best you see for yourself to see how much time and effort has gone into what he's done.

Tuesday horse racing summary

Slim pickings today as my focus was on the first day of the Ebor meeting at York which was rained off. York has also been washed out tomorrow as well. Two proposed bets remained, and the second of these did not reach my advised price. Which left Night Lily running at Brighton in a maiden. She showed improvement in her second race last time out, and a drop in class would seem to be the perfect opportunity for her to lose her maiden tag. The market agreed she had a favourite's chance, backing her in from 7/4 to 11/8 but it's a pity no-one told the filly she was going to win. She had a nightmare race, got bumped around and squeezed out mid-race, and finished last.

No lay bets to report either, so a loss of a point to the account.

Profit so far this month: 7 pts
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Lady Deauville produces pretty profits

This week end proved to be a game of two halves. Yesterday all five of my selections came a cropper, whilst today my only win bet scored nicely, and my sole lay selection duly lost. And so by this evening I had recouped almost all of yesterdays losses.

Lady Deauville was appearing in the Listed fillies stakes at Bath this afternoon. She was a winner as a 2 year old at this level last year, and was coming off the back of a recent win in Listed company at Salisbury four days ago. The filly is clearly firing on all cylinders and I thought 3/1 about her represented a very good value bet. She won by a clear 2 lengths.

I was brave enough to oppose an AP McCoy horse as well today, and Gun Smith failed to fire at Southwell.

Profit so far this month: 4 pts
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Earlsmedic just what the doctor ordered

I am still struggling to find my form and strike rate, with only the one winner from four bets today. Thankfully that winner was generally available at around 7/1 so we still finished the day nicely in front. But I am looking to get back to my typical hit rate of 30-35%

Earlsmedic was competing in a class 4 handicap sprint this evening at Newmarket. He was dropped in distance to 6f last time out, which proved fruitful with a win by a massive six lengths. I felt that form put him at the head of this field, and a price of at least 5/1 looked very good value indeed. I was duly rewarded with a win at a decent price.

Profit so far this month: 6 pts
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Four rules for successful betting

I'm currently in the doldrums when it comes to making profits from betting. Having barely broken even so far this month, it would be very easy to start "searching" for bets to try and make some quick profit and get back on track. But this ill-discipline is where many punters go wrong. If you have a strategy that has proven profitable over time, then you must have confidence in yourself that your methods work.

Every punter will experience periods where no bets ever seem to go in, and profits seem to ebb away after all your hard work to build them up.

It's in these times of low confidence you need to maintain the attitutude of a professional. It will only be a matter of time before results start to happen again for you, and your profit curve takes an upward turn once again.

I've just read a very sensible article by Flo Jordan posted at HorseRacingArticles.co.uk. He talks about four very basic, but oh-so-critical rules he lives by to maintain success from betting. I recommend you read the article in full, and just follow the link below. A lot of it is "Successful Betting 101" stuff, but we all need a refresher sometimes.

CLICK HERE for "The Four Rules Of Successful Betting"
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Thursday horse racing summary

All my bets went against me today, putting a dent in profits this month, and leaving me a little glum this evening. I had four win bets all fail to win, and although two of these came in second, sadly we don't get paid on runners-up out of sympathy by the bookmakers. :-(

I was also opposing Night Rocket at Salisbury this afternoon. Her only win to date had been her maiden, at a class below today's race. So in handicap company, and stepping up in class, she would need to produce at the top of her form. I was counting she would have an off day, and actually I was attracted to the second favourite. I was happy to lay bets against her at 9/4 and she opened on course at 2/1 and even touched 15/8 before drifting a little to 5/2 at the off. But my bet was taken at 9/4 and so 2 and one-quarter points lost to the account.

Profit so far this month: 2 pts
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Normal service resumed

Some of the pages on the ReddRacing.co.uk site were offline yesterday, which meant many of you will have been unable to access yesterday's selections. I understand email to my address was affected also. I am told the gremlins were eventually found, rounded up, and blasted with a virtual shot-gun in the early hours of this morning!

Apologies for any inconvenience caused, but all appears to be back to normal this morning, and I have checked to see today's selections can be seen online - all OK...

I shall be spending some time this afternoon catching up with any outstanding emails, so please be patient and I will respond to all queries in turn.

Technical problems - please read

I am advised the ReddRacing.co.uk web site is experiencing technical problems this morning. If you have been unable to access today's information (and you have thought to look here for answers) then here is today's advice:

Lingfield 3:00 Fault at 7/2 minimum price
Lingfield 4:30 Bavarica at 7/1 minimum price

I have one lay bet,

Musselburgh 7:10 Mystical Ayr at 5/2 maximum price

Good luck if playing today.

What a proper Compton Charlie

Only a successful lay bet this evening stopped today being one of total embarrassment. All five of my win bets went down, none of them even placing. I have suffered white-washes before and I will see them again without a doubt, but it doesn't stop it hurting all the same. It's your pride more than anything that takes a denting - after all, I am supposed to be good at finding winners. As expected, on days like today I get the same old emails from a few, shall we say "disappointed" people, taking a trial week. If these emails didn't prick my sensitivity even just a little, then I wouldn't be human.

However, I know, as indeed THEY know, they have also had days when all their bets lose. In that respect, I am no different - but the one key difference being that I am prepared to put my opinion and credibility on the line pretty much each and every day of the year. But I am happy for those who feel they need to mock, if it somehow boosts their own withering self-esteem and makes them feel better about themselves.

Importantly, I can still post a running profit for the month so far, and today was simply a question of seeing some profit slip away.

Compton Charlie was running in a class 5 handicap at Windsor this evening. He has been banging on the door of a second win since his only victory back in the Spring. However, a succession of near misses has seen his mark move up by 6lbs, and I don't think he will win again until the handicapper lets loose his grip a little. He was sent off the 11/4F and I was happy to lay him to lose at that price. After an effort 2f out he was soon beaten.

Profit so far this month: 7.5 pts
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Thursday horse racing summary

Almost a perfect day, with three bets, a runner-up and two winners. The prices were nothing much to write home about, but still two-out-of-three ain't bad. First Hajoun was runner-up at Yarmouth, then Caranbola won at Haydock. Cavendish Road was my third bet, running at Brighton. This was a weak maiden contest, and Cavendish Road would be priced too high in my opinion if offered at better than 2/1 This price and better was freely available so he was the best value in the race, as well as the best horse. His winning margin of half a length hides his command of the race, and he won a shade cosily under Richard Hughes.

I also proposed two lay bets this morning. One was withdrawn at the start before coming under orders, and the other, which lost, was not available at a low enough price to risk the lay bet, and goes down as a 'no bet'.

More than 4 points profit to show at the end of the afternoon.

Profit so far this month: 13 pts
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Equipping yourself for success as a professional punter

I've just finished reading Henry McAnenly's latest article at HorseRacingArticles.co.uk

An interesting piece about getting started as a full-time punter. If you would like to read it, follow the link below.

Equipping Yourself For Success As A Professional Punter CLICK HERE

Qrackers takes the biscuit

A small loss of less than a point all told by the end of play today. A disappointing return from five win bets, as only one horse came home first, and at relatively short odds. Qrackers was racing over fences for only the second time. However, he had won his chasing debut, albeit at a class below today's race. Futhermore, he had won several races over hurdles at today's level of competition. So I felt he was the horse to back, provided we could get a minimum 11/8 This price was available on the exchanges earlier today, and our horse carried our money to victory.

I managed to get back most of the other losses today by successfully overturning two race favourites - Great Charm at Ripon, and Equuleus Pictor this evening at Windsor. A third was also soundly beaten, but as the horse was not matched at my suggested low price, it has to go down as a 'no bet'.

Profit so far this month: 8 pts
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Thursday horse racing summary

A little over a point and a half profit on the day, and a satisfactory day's work. I proposed five Win bets, four of these reached my suggested value price, and two of them won their race. Mr Hichens had been dropped in class to contest a very mediocre maiden race, and I had received word from the Brian Meehan camp that he was ready to take his first win. Word obviously went around as the 2/1 available about him during the morning evaporated and he was returned the even money favourite. He won convincingly.

Profit so far this month: 25 pts
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Fingers burned by Firestreak

If anyone was in the Tring area today, and heard a resounding "thud" it was the sound of me crashing back down to earth. I've enjoyed a substantial profit injection over the last few days, but this afternoon it was time to wake up and smell the coffee as the reality that is betting on horses hit home.

I proposed four Win bets, and all four lost. I suggested two horses to oppose, and they both won.

Firestreak lined up in the class 2 classified stakes over 7f at Goodwood this afternoon. He had one win to his name, his maiden at class 4 last summer. So he had only ever won a race in which no other horse had won either, and two classes below today's race. His two outings this year were both also below this class. Yet he was this morning's race favourite, trading around the 2/1 and 9/4 mark. To win today would require a career best performance by some margin, and I felt he was good value to get overturned. How wrong can you be? And it's a shame nobody thought to tell the horse he shouldn't win. Such is betting, and we have some consolation that we are just giving back a little of the profits made so far this month.

Profit so far this month: 23.5 pts
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Nevada Desert provides oasis of profit

The account took another profitable step forward today, with one good winner returned from three bets. Nevada Desert was competing in a class 4 handicap at Beverley. He came to a peak of form around this time last summer, and won a similar event off a higher mark. Having slid down to a mark of 75 he was due a win if he could run to near his best, and at a price around 5/1 I felt he would be good value against his competition. Again I was rewarded by looking for the value in a race rather than following the market, and he came home the winner.

A useful 3 points profit to add to the bottom line this month.

Profit so far this month: 35.5 pts
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Chaff turns the tables on wheat

Another extremely profitable day, which makes around 30 points profit returned in the last four days alone!! This may be something of a purple patch, and I do not want new members getting the impression we make this kind of profit EVERY day. Let's enjoy the moment, but let's not get carried away. But I think the last few days clearly demonstrate how it is important to remain disciplined, focused, not panic, and have confidence that your methods work. As long as your winning streaks eclipse your losing runs then you have a wealth-making business on your hands.

I had three win bets this afternoon, and two returned home in front, including Chiff Chaff at Yarmouth. I had narrowed this stayers handicap down to three runners, and as it happens they were the first three home. The obvious choice was the favourite, but these three horses realistically should have each been around the 3/1 mark. At odds-on That Look was priced ridiculously. But at 10/1, and with a claiming jockey taking weight off over such a long distance, Chiff Chaff represented incredible value in my opinion. I struck gold today, and run the race again and we might not be so lucky. But at these prices you only need to be right a couple of times to make a great deal of money, and that is what betting with value is all about.

Both my lay bets also lost, to add a further 3 points profit to the mix. More than 14 points profit for a days work ....if you can call it work.

Profit so far this month: 32.5 pts
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Sunday horse racing summary

Just the one bet today, Bawaardi which ran at Ascot this afternoon. He ran green when asked to go about his business after being settled back off the pace. He finished runner up and I think he will come on for the race. If offered at a decent price next time out over 6f I think he will still be worth backing.

Profit so far this month: 18 pts
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African Skies are blue

Another good day at the office, with more than 11 points profit to stuff in the satchel this evening. After saying I was finding it difficult to fire up the engine earlier in the week, I scored two decent-priced winners from four bets today. One guy having a trial this week sent me an email on Wednesday saying he could do better sticking a pin in his newspaper to pick horses, and promptly ended his trial after just three days. This guy did not have the patience to weather a three day losing spell of a single point loss. Since then we have bagged more than 20 points profit.

It is almost impossible to make daily profits in this game, and the key is to have patience, discipline, and a belief in your own abilities. As long as you are returning an overall profit most months your money will still be outperforming all the banks and building societies.

African Skies was running in a Group race for fillies over 6f at Ascot. She had shown improvement in her last race, in a similar event at the same track, finishing second after her previous race at class 3. I felt she would show continued improvement to win today. The price of 6/1 available about her was too tempting to resist, and proved to be a profitable bet as she came home in front.

Profit so far this month: 19 pts
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