Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Wednesday horse racing summary

Not the ideal way to sign off a month, with two losing bets. My win bet for the day was a disappointing Active Asset, running this evening at the newly opened Great Leighs.

I was betting against Frankie Dettori's mount Bankable at Ascot this afternoon. Ordinarily I would be reluctant to bet against a horse in a handicap who has won in the same class last time out, as was the case with Bankable. However, his last run was more than six months ago. This afternoon he would also be running on soft ground, a surface over which he had yet to win. He would also be carrying an extra 8lbs for his last performance. The bookmakers were taking little chance by offering a meagre 11/8 about a horse in a handicap, which is short by anybody's standards. So I decided the value lay in betting against the horse. Bankable won fairly comfortably, but you can see why bookmakers win in the long run and punters rarely get rich backing horses at those prices.

I ended the month by slicing 2.5 points from the top of the profit cake.

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Folk Tune hits a bum note

A disappointing performance from my only qualifying bet today Folk Tune this evening at Sedgefield. I had received confident information from the Ferdy Murphy yard that Folk Tune was to go well today. He has returned some pretty average performances of late, but at the best of his form this type of race is within his compass at these weights, so I was prepared to invest in his ability at 6/1 or better.

The horse was clearly fancied and the price tumbled to 11/4 before the off. But weight of money behind a horse is never a guarantee, and clearly I would not have been the only person tearing up my proverbial ticket in dismay.

Monday, April 28, 2008

Nothing to report

I could find nothing to recommend either way today, whether it be fancied horses over-priced and good value to back, or horses priced too low and vulnerable to defeat. So we keep our powder dry and gird our loins (running out of cliches now!) ready to fight another day. No movement on the accounts.

Monday, April 21, 2008

Monday horse racing summary

A quiet day today, with just the one bet, and disappointingly a losing one at that. Ask Bobby has a fine record in 'point-to-point' having won his last five races. Last time out he was going well on his first outing under National Hunt rules when he unseated his rider, also in heavy conditions, so I felt he was worthy of another chance this afternoon. I was able to get matched at just over 2/1 but the horse put in no kind of performance.

Thursday, April 17, 2008

Just what the Doctor ordered

A frustrating day for the Win Bet account as from four bets we saw three get placed but no winners, which are what pay the bills. I still achieved a profitable day overall however, thanks to two successful Lay Bets.

Both horses were running at Newmarket, and first I got the 6/4 favourite Pipedreamer overturned for 2 points. Then I was going fairly heavily against Doctor Fremantle in the final race, a class 3 handicap. The horse had only competed in class 4 maiden races to date, so today he was both stepping up in class and running in handicap company for the first time. He would also be running over a distance beyond his furthest to date. The horse was obviously well fancied but the fact still remained he would have to show great improvement to score a win today, and I was willing to lay bets against him for 5 points if the price went below 11/4 The horse was eventually sent off at a meagre 11/8F and came home second.

And so the 7 points profit gained by the lay bets offset the other four losing bets, to give me a net profit of 3 points.

Wednesday, April 16, 2008

Infallible unstoppable and profitable

A solid return of almost 5 points profit this afternoon, coming mostly from the Craven meeting at Newmarket. I had three win bets, with Infallible winning the Nell Gwyn Stakes. Jon Gosden's yard is on fire at the moment (he saddled four winners here today) and Infallible is ultimately aimed at the 1,000 Guineas in a few weeks. With confidence in the horse riding high she had to be backed, but I was looking for at least 7/2 The market opened at a bargain 4/1 and so we were quickly on at that price.

My three lay bets also returned a profit overall, despite one short-priced winner in Virtual at 11/10F

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Tuesday horse racing summary

Not a day I relish reporting so I will get on with it. My two win bets both came in third, whilst the two horses upon which I laid out my own money to lose, both won. A fraction over 10 points lost from the bottom line, the pain of which is exacerbated because I got every bet wrong today. It happens, it will happen again in future, but it does make you question your methods.

I was opposing Jaser in the handicap race at Nottingham over a mile distance. He was stepping up in class and also carrying an extra 8lbs for his latest win. I was willing to lay bets for 5 points he would not show sufficient improvement to complete his hat-trick, as long as I could get matched below 13/8 The horse showed me I was wrong and took my money.

Save only minor refinements, my methods for finding value in race cards have changed little over the years. These methods have returned consistent profits over time, so I just grit my teeth and take these losses today on the chin, confident new profits will be just around the corner.

Monday, April 14, 2008

March newsletter

Welcome to the latest edition of my Newsletter. The main purpose of the monthly Newsletter is to summarize the results of the previous month, and to give you a "heads up" on any exciting news or events to come in the next few weeks.

In this month's issue:

  • Results for March
  • Interview with Carl Yardley of UCantLose.co.uk
  • Betting Exchange Profits
  • Discover the VIP Betting Club
  • More horse racing articles
  • How you can earn money telling people about my web site

March Results
By contrast to February where we all experienced something of a 'profit roller-coaster' ride, March turned out to be a typically consistent, and solidly profitable month. Both services, the Back-To-Win Bets and the Lay-To-Lose Bets, performed well and in particular the Lay Bets.

The Lay Bets enjoyed a particularly successful month, with an 89% strike rate betting against mainly race favourites. Indeed the service was running with a 100% success rate until the 25th of the month. We suffered only 2 losing bets, and both of these were odds-on favourites, so a pat-on-the-back was well deserved I think.

April can sometimes prove to be a tricky month, as the Flat season starts and form is more difficult to assess. But hopefully we can repeat the results from this time last year when the Win Bets alone returned more than 30 points profit.

Back-to-Win Selections:

Profit : 13.52 points
Profit to £50 stakes : £676
Profit so far this year : £2,932
Strike rate : 25%
Return on Investment : 112%
Longest winning run : 2
Longest losing run : 11

Lay Bets:

Profit : 22.0 points
Profit to £50 stakes : £1,100
Strike rate : 89%
Profit so far this year : £2,165



Click here to join my service TODAY


Interview with Carl Yardley from UCantLose.co.uk
This month Paul Whelan interviews the man who has developed the UK's premiere sports arbitrage service.

You may or may not be familiar with arbitrage betting. For the unitiated, it involves a series of bets which when struck mean you are guaranteed a profit, whatever the outcome. Some say it takes the fun out of betting, others say it is the only way to make a consistent income from gambling. What's your opinion?

Click here to read the interview with Carl Yardley


Betting Exchange Profits
When Jason Chesters approached me and declared arrogantly "Give Me A Computer And Access To The Betfair Website And I will Make £1089.24 Every Week - Tax FREE From Anywhere!...." I immediately crossed my arms sceptically and shook my head.

You see, if I don't get at least one such person peddling some hare-brained system each and every week, then it's usually because I've had problems with my email.

But then a close associate of mine asked if I had heard of this Betfair whizz-kid Jason Chesters, and how he was tearing it up on the betting exchanges. I decided to retrieve his email, and promptly asked for a demo of his system.

I don't breathe a word about any tipster service, horse racing book, or betting system until I have had a chance to review it myself. And I normally like at least 90 days to let a strategy either prove itself, or fall flat on its face. Which is why I have left it until now to tell you what I think.

I shall release a detailed review about BetExProfits later this month, but suffice to say for the time-being that I strongly recommend you get over to Jason's web site and get some more information on this system. For those of you who like to get ahead of the game, then this will be a smart move, because Jason tells me he may have to limit the number of users in circulation - not definately, but still worth your while having a look NOW!

Click here to visit the BetExProfits web site


Have You Heard About The VIP Betting Club?
You may have tried my daily racing service recently, and perhaps you decided against joining. Did you find a daily service was impractical and un-workable during the week? Do you prefer a smaller number of targetted, highly selective bets? Well I have some great news just for you!

I want to tell you about a professional betting service, which gives out only around 4-6 well-researched bets each month -- it's called my VIP Betting Club.

Click here to visit the VIP Betting Club web page

I often receive feedback from people who prefer to bet mostly at the week-ends, and to invest in a reliable source of laser-targetted professional bets. Which is just one of the reasons I introduced the 'VIP Betting Club' service for the discerning racing punter.

I'm giving you the opportunity to sample this exciting service completely free of charge, so you can see for yourself exactly how good my information is.

I am more than happy to give you an appetizer, and it will cost you nothing to receive the next VIP selection. Visit the Club webpage at www.reddracing.co.uk/vip to read about some of the winning selections members have celebrated this year.


More Horse Racing Articles
As the name suggests, HorseRacingArticles.co.uk is a web site dedicated entirely to UK horse racing news, articles, interviews, and reviews. You can even browse through a collection of free horse racing systems.

If you want free content to re-publish on your website then look no further.

Why not register as an author? Submit an article yourself, and you can get a link back to your website and tons of free traffic.

For more horse racing articles visit HorseRacingArticles.co.uk


Earn BIG MONEY with my Affiliate Program
If this is your first newsletter, you may not be aware that absolutely anybody can earn some really generous commission payments by simply referring people to my web site for a free trial of my service.

In a nutshell, I will pay you up to £60 for every visitor you send to my web site. If someone decides to join my service having been referred by you, then I will pay you half of their membership fee by way of a "Thank You".

This opportunity is open to everybody, and you do not have to be a member of my service to become an affiliate partner of Redd Racing. Neither do you need to have your own web site -- indeed you don't have to have any technical skills whatsoever. I will provide you with all the tools and training you need to promote my web site effectively.

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....and finally
The Flat Season is just starting to warm up, and The Guineas and The Derby are literally just around the corner. For many, the start of British Summer Time and (allegedly) the better weather, signals the first visit to the race course of the year. If you are planning a day at the races this month, then I hope you will go armed with my selections to help ensure a profitable day out? Whatever the outcome, and usually whatever the weather, you will enjoy a spectacle of thoroughbred animals that only the sport of horse racing can serve up.

Until next month's Newsletter, and as ever, you have my warmest best wishes.


This month's Redd Racing newsletter was produced in asscociation with SkyBlueKangaroo.com which provides a one-stop shop for horse racing and betting products and services. Systems, guides, books, tipsters, and more.


Click here to visit SkyBlueKangaroo.com

Bold Punt backfires on me

Betting against a second favourite actually went against me this afternoon, and cost me almost all of the profit I had accumulated from my win bets. I watched three win bets fail to score, before Mineral Rights popped in at Wolverhampton to give me more than 3 points clear profit.

But then my attention went to Newcastle where I was betting Bold Punt would lose his race. In his only previous outing he clearly did not relish heavy going when finishing a long way behind in a maiden race. The going for this afternoon's race was also described as 'soft' and I thought the odds-on favourite Innominate was a real 'good thing' to take the race. I layed bets against Bold Punt at 9/4 but how wrong I was. I managed to give back all but a point of my profit.

Friday, April 11, 2008

Friday horse racing summary

Not a pretty afternoon for me I'm afraid. I set off on a cycle ride in beautiful Spring weather. But about 15 miles in I found myself heading towards the blackest clouds I had seen for a while. Minutes later there was thunder, lightning, rain and hail. I must be barking mad, I thought to myself. It must have been a forboding, because after 60 miles I returned home to learn all four of my win bets had lost, whilst one of my lay bets had gone and won. Just one successful lay bet saved my betting day from being the same wash-out as my cycle ride.

More than 6 points lost from the account, and I'm hoping things will be brighter over the week end.

Thursday, April 10, 2008

For profits, just Ask....

I scooped nearly 5 points profit this afternoon, with two winners from five, and a further successful lay bet. Ask The Gatherer and Armoury House both came up the hill at Towcester to win, at matched prices of 5/2 and 4/1 respectively.

I wanted to oppose Baunagain in the 6f handicap at Folkestone. He only had a win in a maiden race to his name, so to score in handicap company first time out would require some further improvement. He came a close second, but that still meant a successful lay bet, and a bonus point profit.

Monday, April 07, 2008

Ever get that Hollow feeling?

One of those confidence-sapping days today, when I drew a complete blank. All six proposed win bets went down the tubes, and to be frank, none of the horses showed any sparkle whatsoever. I know it happens, and thankfully it doesn't happen too frequently for me, but it is still galling when it does.

I fancied Hollow Jo to come back to winning ways in the first race at Kempton this afternoon. He is usually one to watch early in the season, and racing off a lower mark compared to the mid-70's he was rated this time last year I considered him to be a value favourite. But disappointingly he was never on terms today.

The only horse that won today was my proposed Lay bet Straight Face, also at Kempton. More by luck than judgement the price did not drop low enough to qualify as a final bet. Had it done so I would have had to go home and wear sack-cloth all evening. As it happens, I shall get my nose back in the form book, keep on applying the same methods that have served us well over time, and see if we can't get back some of today's losses from tomorrow's cards.

Thursday, April 03, 2008

No Magic today

A disappointing day as all three of my win bets failed to score. I had two strong bets in Inglis Drever and Celestial Halo, but both came up short. I uncovered what I considered to be a good value bet with Magic Sky in the Red Rum Chase at Aintree. On his best form he was treated well by the handicapper and had claims to a race like this. At prices of 25's this morning that made him very good value to make the frame in my opinion, and he ended up failing to do just that by only a neck.

In the cold light of day however, he didn't produce a return, and with no Lay bets to report, the records will show a loss of 3 points overall this afternoon.

Tuesday, April 01, 2008

Tuesday horse racing summary

A relatively quiet day, with only five bets proposed, and only two of these achieving my suggested value price to be a final bet. I ended up having two back-to-win bets: the first on Brook No Argument who won at Wetherby, then I backed General Tufto at Folkestone which finished unplaced.

Both my suggested lay bets were priced too high, so although both horses lost, they go down as 'no bets'. I was keen to oppose Glorious Gift in a maiden race at Folkestone. Although he had finished close up on his last outing, this afternoon he would be racing a furlong further than ever before, and on soft ground, over which he was unproven. These unanswered questions would have led me to lay bets against him if I could get matched at 6/4 or lower. But the lowest I was able to see was 15/8 and so I kept my money safe and let the race run its course. We missed a successful lay bet this time, but trust me it is profitable in the long run to remain disciplined about the price you are willing to lay.

Come the end of the afternoon the account was almost 2 points to the good.